Disturbance south of Gulf of Tehuantepec

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

Disturbance south of Gulf of Tehuantepec

#1 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Jun 28, 2008 7:13 pm

Image

Image

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SAT JUN 28 2008

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 96W N OF 8N WITH A LOW CENTER OF 1010 MB
NEAR 8N96W. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. LATEST SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CYCLONIC TURNING OF THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD FIELD
IS NOT AS EVIDENT AS 18-24 HOURS AGO...AND THE SYSTEM IS
PRESENTLY POORLY ORGANIZED. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE FROM 10N-14N.
OTHER ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS TIED IN WITH THE ITCZ AS
DESCRIBED BELOW. GLOBAL MODELS STILL LATCH ON TO THIS WAVE AND
LOW...AND DEVELOP IT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THEY IT TRACK IT
IN A WNW DIRECTION.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#2 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Jun 28, 2008 8:19 pm

Latest:

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
srainhoutx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6919
Age: 67
Joined: Sun Jan 14, 2007 11:34 am
Location: Haywood County, NC
Contact:

Re: Disturbance south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec

#3 Postby srainhoutx » Sat Jun 28, 2008 8:35 pm

Remember the models showed a third storm. This one has the best chance in my humble opinion.
0 likes   

User avatar
Category 5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10074
Age: 35
Joined: Sun Feb 11, 2007 10:00 pm
Location: New Brunswick, NJ
Contact:

Re: Disturbance south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec

#4 Postby Category 5 » Sun Jun 29, 2008 1:08 am

Looks like a fanblade
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: Disturbance south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec

#5 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Jun 29, 2008 1:49 am

Maybe some slow development...Worth watching.
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: Disturbance south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec

#6 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Jun 29, 2008 5:36 am

A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145840
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Disturbance south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec

#7 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jun 29, 2008 6:21 am

This should be invest 96E later today.

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145840
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Disturbance south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec

#8 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jun 29, 2008 6:42 am

ABPZ20 KNHC 291131
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN JUN 29 2008

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM BORIS...CENTERED ABOUT 655 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA
CENTERED ABOUT 1245 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA.

A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD.


ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23692
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: Disturbance south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec

#9 Postby gatorcane » Sun Jun 29, 2008 9:40 am

Wow, the EPAC is on fire right now and the Atlantic is completely dead. Typically only one of the basins is active so the Atlantic should remain quiet as long as the EPAC is cranking out these storms.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#10 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jun 29, 2008 9:41 am

Image

To the north, Mesoamerica, to the south, a mess!!!
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34005
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#11 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Jun 29, 2008 10:53 am

96E soon it appears?
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145840
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Disturbance south of Gulf of TEHUANTEPEC

#12 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jun 29, 2008 11:18 am

Is now invest 96E.Go to active storms forum for the information about it.This thread is now locked.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Argcane, LarryWx, Ulf and 21 guests