NOAA announces $17 million hurricane research 2009 funding p

[Recurve]

Press release from NOAA issued this morning:

for Immediate release

Aug 11, 2008


Bush Administration More Than Quadruples 2009 Hurricane Forecast Improvement Budget Request to $17 Million



The Bush Administration is bolstering funding for hurricane research and forecast improvements by $13 million to accelerate NOAA scientists’ ability to more accurately forecast tropical storms, hurricane intensity, the paths of these dangerous storms, and related storm surges.

The $13 million increase to NOAA’s Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project is added to the original $4 million request for a total of $17 million for fiscal year 2009.

“This increased budget reflects President Bush’s commitment to advancing science and technical capabilities of the United States government to protect life and property of the nation’s citizens,” said retired Navy Vice Admiral Conrad C. Lautenbacher, Jr., Ph.D., under secretary of commerce for oceans and atmosphere and NOAA administrator. “NOAA has developed an aggressive plan to accelerate improvements to our hurricane forecasting capabilities.”

Goals of the Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project include improving the accuracy and reliability of predicting rapidly intensifying storms and extending the lead time of hurricane prediction with increased certainty. NOAA will use the funding in four major areas to: increase hurricane observations; advance forecast models through research, development and engineering; increase computing power; and enhance collaboration with hurricane scientists in the private sector, government, and universities to advance research and operations.

Specific advancements outlined in the plan include:
§ Improving hurricane track forecast accuracy by 20 percent for Days 1 through 5 by 2013;

§ Improving hurricane intensity forecast accuracy by 20 percent for Days 1 through 5 by 2013; and

§ Extending the lead time for hurricane forecasts out to Day 7.

Planning for the Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project began after the 2005 hurricane season -- the most active on record -- which produced several monster storms, including Hurricane Katrina. Reports provided to NOAA from the National Science Foundation and the NOAA Science Advisory Board, with input from university partners, other government agencies, and the private sector, were used to develop and adopt the final project framework on July 18, 2008.

NOAA Hurricane scientists announced Thursday an increase in probability to 85 percent that this year’s Atlantic hurricane season will be above normal with 14-18 named storms, including seven to ten hurricanes. So far the region has seen five named storms, leaving a long way to go to the end of the season in November.

NOAA understands and predicts changes in the Earth's environment, from the depths of the ocean to the surface of the sun, and conserves and manages our coastal and marine resources. Visit http://www.noaa.gov.

On the Web:
Final Framework for NOAA’s Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project: http://www.nrc.noaa.gov/plans_docs/HFIP_Plan_071808.pdf

- 30 -

[JonathanBelles]

Wow!!! awesome! Can this get us closer to replacement satellites? Very good news. Those goals by 2013 are great.

[Category 5]

Money well spent. We can hope that this research can help save more lives.

[Cyclenall]

This is really excellent news.

[njweather]

So they can do something right...

[RL3AO]

So they aim for 7 day forecasts by 2013.

[JonathanBelles]

So they aim for 7 day forecasts by 2013.

I doubt they will accomplish that with any trust in them, but who knows. I would certainly like to see it.

[artist]

Excellent news! Now let's just hope it stands.

[vbhoutex]

Excellent news! Now let's just hope it stands.

My thoughts exactly. Perhaps we need to lobby our congress-persons? Or is this funding already set?

[artist]

That's probably a good idea. I can see them trying to pull the funding if they possibly can, or cut it rather. I hope if they get it it has to be used for this purpose by NOAA and this purpose only as well.

[Recurve]

I talked to the NOAA budget director on Monday, he said this was a budget amendment, the NOAA budget under Dept. of Commerce is still to be approved. He expected support from coastal states delegations, of course.
He also said this is in addition to 240 or so million for the GOES next generation satellite program, which will send GOES R into orbit in a few years.

A couple million of the money is going toward beefing up the supercomputer in Gaithersburg, Md., I believe. I'll have a story about it on KeysNet.com tomorrow some time, but it won't have a lot of detail. You should download the 30-page Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project plan if you are interested in the goals and mission (there's no spending breakdown in there).