Tropical weather discussion
NWS TPC/National Hurricane Center Miami FL
805 PM EDT Wed 13 Aug 2003
Tropical weather discussion for North America...Central
America...Gulf of Mexico...Caribbean Sea...and Atlantic Ocean
to the African coast from the Equator to 32n including northern
sections of South America. The following information is based
on satellite imagery... weather observations...radar...and
meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and
satellite imagery through 2345 UTC.
Special feature...
1015 mb low pressure center near 24n77w...along a trough from
30n74w to 24n77w to eastern Cuba near 21n77w. The low center
has been moving westward 10-15 kt during the last 24 hours.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong showers and thunderstorms
from 20n to 24n between 76w and 81w over Cuba and into the
Straits of Florida. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
showers and thunderstorms from 25n to 27n between 76w and 78w
over the Bahamas. Warming cloud top temperatures...dissipating
convection and remnant convective debris clouds over and east
of the Bahamas elsewhere from 24n to 29n between 72w and 79w.
Satellite images and surface observations indicate that the broad
low pressure system over the central and northwestern Bahamas is
continuing to become a little better organized. Upper-level winds
have also become more favorable and this system still has the
potential to become a tropical depression or a tropical storm at
any time as it moves westward across the Bahamas...Florida...and
into the Gulf of Mexico. Even if the system does not become a
tropical cyclone...it will still bring gusty winds to near
tropical storm strength along with locally heavy rainfall over
sections of the northwestern Bahamas...the Florida peninsula and
the Keys during the next 24 hours. Interests in these areas
should continue to monitor the progress of this system. Another
Air Force reserve reconnaissance aircraft is currently enroute
to investigate the disturbance later this evening.
8:05 NHC Disc.
Moderator: S2k Moderators
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