Prelim Disc. from HPC (8/17/03) - Tropical Potential

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Stormsfury
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Prelim Disc. from HPC (8/17/03) - Tropical Potential

#1 Postby Stormsfury » Sun Aug 17, 2003 12:14 pm

Continuing to key in on one particular wave.

TROPICS...LONGER TERM MODEL RUNS CONT TO GENERATE ERN ATLC
SYSTEMS. ALL MEDIUM RANGE MODELS KEY ON ONE CURRENT
EASTERLY WAVE IN THE ERN TROP ATLC WITH MDT MODEL
DEVELOPMENT. GFS HAS NOT DONE THIS FOR QUITE SOME TIME. GFS
ADDITIONALLY CONTS TO WANT TO STRONGLY SPIN UP A
FOLLOWING AFRICAN WAVE BEHIND ITS LEAD SYSTEM. NO OTHER
MEDIUM RANGE KEY ON ANY FOLLOWING DEVELOPMENT. NHC/HPC
WILL CONT TO FORECAST A PROGRESSIVE WAVE/SPOT LOW MOVING
WWD TOWARD THE WINDWARDS THRU THIS PERIOD.
ROSENSTEIN
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Steve H.
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#2 Postby Steve H. » Sun Aug 17, 2003 7:44 pm

They are looking at a more westward movement due to slow evolution/development toward the WINDWARDS hence, more of a threat to land :o Cheers!! then the second and subsequent.
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