40W Disturbance Circulation?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22979
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

40W Disturbance Circulation?

#1 Postby wxman57 » Thu Aug 21, 2003 9:09 am

Got a couple of interesting ship reports from just south of that blob of tstms near 10N/39W. Now both ships are in thunderstorms, so this doesn't mean that there actually are west winds due to a LLC, but interesting nonetheless:

Image
0 likes   
Top
Steve H.
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2146
Joined: Sat Oct 19, 2002 9:06 am
Location: Palm Bay, Florida

#2 Postby Steve H. » Thu Aug 21, 2003 10:03 am

Also, there is a 92E on the Invest site at NRL listed under Atlantic. Is that a placeholder for the 40W System, or an error???? Usually E's are for EPAC.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29112
Age: 73
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:
Contact vbhoutex

#3 Postby vbhoutex » Thu Aug 21, 2003 10:55 am

Isn't this on the Southern end of the tropical wave with a center near 17N, 32W? Are we going to see multiple circs around the broad circulation?
0 likes   
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
Please click below to donate to STORM2K to help with the expenses of keeping the site going:
Image
Top
User avatar
Colin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5086
Joined: Fri Apr 18, 2003 4:17 pm
Location: Catasauqua, PA
Contact:
Contact Colin

#4 Postby Colin » Thu Aug 21, 2003 11:11 am

I wouldn't doubt it David....
0 likes   
Top
Steve H.
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2146
Joined: Sat Oct 19, 2002 9:06 am
Location: Palm Bay, Florida

#5 Postby Steve H. » Thu Aug 21, 2003 11:36 am

It was, but it may be an entity of its own now. 92L still doesn't look quite right...convection growing but still looking a bit limp. Cheers!!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29112
Age: 73
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:
Contact vbhoutex

#6 Postby vbhoutex » Thu Aug 21, 2003 12:46 pm

Steve I'm not sure what you mean by limp, but it is looking pretty healthy to me. convection continues to blossom and appears to be trying to wrap the mid-level center. I still don't see any low-level spin yet, but if this trend continues it wouldn't surprise me if it started to show. Appears that this system is trying to start up! As we know it has got to reach the surface, which it hasn't imo, but it sure is trying I think.
0 likes   
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
Please click below to donate to STORM2K to help with the expenses of keeping the site going:
Image
Top
Steve H.
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2146
Joined: Sat Oct 19, 2002 9:06 am
Location: Palm Bay, Florida

#7 Postby Steve H. » Thu Aug 21, 2003 2:48 pm

For a minute I thought it was dejavu....but....Went to a meeting then came back and boom! I think we may have a TD by the end of the day. This COULD affect Florida and the GOM.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Lindaloo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 22658
Joined: Sat Mar 29, 2003 10:06 am
Location: Pascagoula, MS

#8 Postby Lindaloo » Thu Aug 21, 2003 3:16 pm

Are you talking about a problem for the Florida Keys?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145343
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#9 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 21, 2003 3:20 pm

This wave is the most I worrie now as it may develop and has plenty of warm water ahead with ideal condtions.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot] and 24 guests