TD #9 - Advisory #1

[Air Force Met]

WTNT24 KNHC 212032
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092003
2100Z THU AUG 21 2003

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHOHA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI.

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE BORDER WITH THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PORT-AU-PRINCE...WESTWARD.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 66.1W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 66.1W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 65.5W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.5N 67.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.5N 70.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.5N 72.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.0N 74.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 21.5N 76.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 24.0N 78.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 26.0N 79.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 66.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z



Watch out south Florida!

[Stormsfury]

Looking at today's satellite loop, I'm not surprised.

SF

[Guest]

Now the next question - where is it headed? I see the motion as WNW.