Home brew the only threat left for the East Coast?

[DreamworksSKG]

Would it be safe to say the threat of a storm coming off Africa now and hitting the East coast is very minimal like under 50% chance?

And that said, could there be a major home brew storm within the next month or so?

That from here on out the only shot the East Coast would have at a hit would be from Home Brew storms forming around the bahamas or the Carribbean???

The Cape Verde Season seems to be nearing an end
in my opinion

[Florida1118]

Would it be safe to say the threat of a storm coming off Africa now and hitting the East coast is very minimal like under 50% chance?

And that said, could there be a major home brew storm within the next month or so?

That from here on out the only shot the East Coast would have at a hit would be from Home Brew storms forming around the bahamas or the Carribbean???

The Cape Verde Season seems to be nearing an end
in my opinion

1. Generally the Chance is always under 50% far far out. There shouldn't be too many more system coming off Africa developing.
2. We can only predict well a few days out. There are several threads about possible threat and developers.
-http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=109410&start=0
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=109441&start=0
3. Yup. Later in the season, generally we shift out attention to home.
4. Climo. speaking, this is the time of year CV slows down.
Hope I helped. Anyone Can correct me of course if I am wrong!

[jinftl]

Climatology would say we will need to shift our focus to the Western Caribbean - the late season breeding ground of some of the biggest monster storms the basin has ever seen at any time of year (i.e., Wilma, Mitch - both storms forming very late in the season)