Over/Under guess for Lorenzo to form: September 1st?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
RainbowAppleJackDash

Over/Under guess for Lorenzo to form: September 1st?

#1 Postby RainbowAppleJackDash » Tue Jun 18, 2013 3:39 pm

I am probably thinking that Tropical Storm/Hurricane Lorenzo would form on September 1st.
Agreed or will he form later/earlier?
0 likes   

HurricaneRyan
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 813
Age: 31
Joined: Sun Dec 05, 2010 3:05 pm

#2 Postby HurricaneRyan » Thu Jun 20, 2013 8:09 pm

Maybe earlier depending on how many storms ramp up in June, July & August.

This season is reminding me of 2005 a little. Andrea affected Florida just like Arlene did and Barry affected Mexico just like Bret.
0 likes   
Kay '22 Hilary '23

TheStormExpert

#3 Postby TheStormExpert » Thu Jun 20, 2013 9:33 pm

I'm going to assume Lorenzo would form after September 1st, most likely late September/early October. In 2010 the "L" storm formed on Sep. 20th, in 2011 it formed on Sep. 1st, and in 2012 it formed on Aug. 30th. Of course the last 3 seasons had 19 storms. This year I'm going with 15-17 storms. And in 2004 the "L" storm formed on Sep. 19. Of course 2004 is one of the analog years for this season and fits the best with the potential number of storms we could have.
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurricane Andrew
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1891
Age: 26
Joined: Sun May 23, 2010 2:53 pm
Location: KS

#4 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Thu Jun 20, 2013 10:44 pm

Gonna go on a limb and say AFTER.
0 likes   

The Enthusiast
NREMT-AEMT, WX nerd

Irene '11, Sandy '12, Irma '17 (SAR)

"Hard to think we were born to live this way..." -Wage War

User avatar
Hybridstorm_November2001
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2811
Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2004 2:50 pm
Location: SW New Brunswick, Canada
Contact:

#5 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Fri Jun 21, 2013 7:00 am

after
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: ElectricStorm, Lizzytiz1, Stratton23, USTropics and 46 guests