'Nuther Nudge West

[Scott_inVA]

Everything recurves...but when?

TPC continues to nudge (barely move) +48 coords to the west as Fab stays pure west.

Not, IMO, a big deal ATTM...but if he's still west at ~57 or 58...BIG deal then.

http://www.wrel.com/modelmap.htm

Scott
WREL Radio
Lexington, VA

Yanks/Clemens smoke Red Sox. Good day

[Guest]

Yep that does not make sence.................I am still looking for ANYTHING that can possible make Fabian take any of those tracks towards the NW or N.....................Nothing is remotely even close to pull it in any kinda northward motion......................I have been looking at sats especially the water vapor which gives a good clue to how the systems across the USA/Tropics are moving and i see nothing near Fabian for atleast 3 days like i have said in other posts!................Either way like i said as well in another post i will wait untill tomorrow to give something a chance to perhaps form and maybe change my opinion but for now i see no reason for Fabian to go NW or N in the next couple of days atleast!

[weatherlover427]

Yanks/Clemens smoke Red Sox. Good day

Bad day.

Let's hope this storm fishes.

[wow]

Looks like Bastardi may be on to something....

From the midday update:

"All it takes here is for the northern ridge not to break as much, a trof split to occur and the system coming from behind, which should be faster, to prevent enough of a ridge from building south and east of Fabian and the track either slows or shifts west later in the week. TPC's latest input is now a degree and half west of their previous idea. The latest GFS is starting to imply more northwest atlantic resistance, still not enough to startle anyone, but enough to show what I am talking about. To sum up 1) The trof split idea 2) the known bias of destroying the atlantic ridge over warmer than average water 3) what is coming from behind."

[Scott_inVA]

SIGNIFICANT development on the 11P EDT TPC Advisory.

Fabian for the first time reaches 70° West (at 120 hrs). Important b/c sensible extensions of TPC's coords have kept the TC *east* of 70° until now.

Big margin of error but watch over the next 2 days to see if/how long he is progged is west of 70°.

Scott
WREL Radio
Lexington, VA

Yanks/Clemens smoke Red Sox. Good day prompts new signature:D

[Steve H.]

If the next few runs continue the trend.....well....its still 5 days away. Interesting though.