Tropical Wave near 18/19W with Low Pressure

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Tropical Wave near 18/19W with Low Pressure

#1 Postby Gustywind » Mon Sep 07, 2015 6:52 am

Again, again....

Will this one stays as a moderate twave or turn into something as a TS or much more during it trip on the Atlantic Ocean?
One thing going in favor is climo as we're approaching the peak of the season. But as usual down the road is the question on how it encounter dry air/shear.
I don't know if models are hinting at it having some development.

Time will tell.
You can post all the infos related to this feature: models, etc. I will be glad to share all these infos with you :)
Regards :)
Gustywind



TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON SEP 07 2015



AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 18W/19W FROM 19N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 TO 15 KNOTS. A 1012 MB LOW
PRESSURE CENTER IS ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 12N.
CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 17W AND 24W.
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#2 Postby Gustywind » Mon Sep 07, 2015 7:20 am

Gatorcane is that the twave that GFS was trying to developp?
0 likes   

emeraldislenc
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 559
Joined: Fri Aug 24, 2012 4:49 pm
Location: Emerald Isle NC

Re: Tropical Wave near 18/19W with Low Pressure

#3 Postby emeraldislenc » Mon Sep 07, 2015 10:51 am

I hope he responds to the question. I enjoy his comments!
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#4 Postby Gustywind » Mon Sep 07, 2015 7:17 pm

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT MON SEP 07 2015


TROPICAL WAVE OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA IS ALONG 20W FROM 9N-19N
MOVING W NEAR 10 KT OVER PAST 24 HOURS. THE 1012 MB LOW IS NO
LONGER DISCERNIBLE.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A HIGH AMPLITUDE SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION.
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#5 Postby Gustywind » Tue Sep 08, 2015 7:56 am

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT TUE SEP 08 2015

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 22W/23W FROM 21N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 TO 15 KNOTS. THIS POSITION IS A
MEAN POSITION THAT IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE 700 MB
WIND FIELD. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 18W AND 22W. RAINSHOWERS
ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 24N BETWEEN AFRICA AND 26W.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Stratton23 and 46 guests