Fabian update 11 AM from NHC and possible watch for Bermuda!

[WXBUFFJIM]

000
WTNT35 KNHC 031440
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED SEP 03 2003

...DANGEROUS FABIAN MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE WILL LIKELY ISSUE A HURRICANE WATCH
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. ALL INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FABIAN.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.7 WEST OR ABOUT 700
MILES...1120 KM...SOUTH OF BERMUDA.

FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL CHECK FABIAN AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL BE AFFECTING THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...22.4 N... 62.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 945 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA





That's the latest info from the national hurricane center at 11 am. Watch out in Bermuda, a hurricane watch maybe needed later tonight or on Thursday for the possibility of hurricane force winds on the northeast quadrant of the circulation Friday night!!! 20-30 foot waves are also likely in Bermuda. I will post a more in depth discussion later today. Busy time now!!! Good afternoon.

Jim

[Aquawind]

Even if it does not have hurricane force wind those 30 FOOT waves are going to be incredibly dangerous for that small island. I hope they have a rocky shoreline, man made barrier, or unfortunate reef because that will be changing the shoreline for sure if not. Poor reef would be wiped clean.. :8:

[Stephanie]

I've been to Bermuda and the shoreline is alittle rocky, but everything pretty much sits by the shore. :o

[WXBUFFJIM]

20-30 foot waves nearshore would be devastating to say the least. The waves could be even higher offshore at 35 feet. Bottom line, WILD and DANGEROUS!!

I haven't been to Bermuda before, but it's mainly shoreline as opposed to rocky locations!!

Jim

[JCT777]

Thanks for the info, Jim. Sure looks like Bermuda is not the place to take a dip in the water from tomorrow through Saturday! :o