SPAC: TUNI - Post-Tropical

[jaguarjace]

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 23/2243 UTC 2015 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD03F [1006HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 14.0S 179.7W AT
232100UTC. SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR/VIS IMAGERY
AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE OBSERVATIOS. SST AROUND 29 DEGREES CELCIUS.

CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT PAST 12 HOURS. ORGANISATION HAS
SLIGHTLY IMPROVED PAST 24 HOURS. SYSTEM LIES ALONG A SURFACE TROUGH
AND JUST SOUTH OF AN UPPER RIDGE IN A LOW TO MODERATE SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UP TO 500 HPA.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND KEEP IT SLOW MOVING WITH
SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS IS LOW.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.

[supercane]

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 24/0906 UTC 2015 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD03F [1005HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 14.9S 179.9W AT
240600UTC. SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR IMAGERY AND
PERIPHERAL SURFACE OBSERVATIOS. SST AROUND 29 DEGREES CELCIUS.

CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT PAST 12 HOURS. ORGANISATION POOR.
SYSTEM LIES ALONG A SURFACE TROUGH AND JUST SOUTH OF AN UPPER RIDGE
IN A LOW TO MODERATE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
EXTENDS UP TO 700 HPA.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND KEEP IT SLOW MOVING WITH
SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS IS LOW.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.

[supercane]

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 25/2250 UTC 2015 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD03F [1003HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 11.0S 179.4E AT
252100UTC. TD03F MOVING NORTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS. POSITION POOR BASED ON
MTSAT VIS/IR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND
30 DEGREES CELCIUS.

CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT PAST 12 HOURS. ORGANISATION REMAINS
POOR. SYSTEM LIES UNDER AN UPPER RIDGE IN A LOW TO MODERATE SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UP TO 500 HPA.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND KEEP IT SLOW MOVING WITH
SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS IS LOW.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.

[jaguarjace]

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 26/0842 UTC 2015 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD03F [1001HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 10.0S 179.5E AT
260600UTC. TD03F SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR IMAGERY
AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 29 DEGREES CELCIUS.

CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT AND ORGANISATION HAS IMPROVED SLIGHTLY
PAST 24 HOURS. SYSTEM LIES UNDER AN UPPER RIDGE IN A LOW TO MODERATE
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UP TO 500 HPA.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND KEEP IT SLOW MOVING
SOUTHEAST WITH SOME INTENSIFICATION.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS IS LOW.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.

[jaguarjace]

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 26/2304 UTC 2015 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD03F [1001HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 10.6S 178.8E AT
262100UTC. TD03F SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR IMAGERY
AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 29 DEGREES CELCIUS.

CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT AND ORGANISATION HAS IMPROVED SLIGHTLY
PAST 24 HOURS. SYSTEM LIES UNDER AN UPPER RIDGE IN A LOW TO MODERATE
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UP TO 500 HPA.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND KEEP IT SLOW MOVING
SOUTHEAST WITH SOME INTENSIFICATION.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS IS LOW TO MODERATE.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.

[jaguarjace]

RSMC Nadi Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP
Tropical Cyclone TUNI
Tropical Cyclone Warning Number 6 issued 0728 UTC Saturday 28 November 2015