ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Feb 290332 UTC.
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD12F [1000HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 15.9S 152.2W AT
290000UTC. TD12F SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED IN VIS/IR IMAGERGY
WITH ANIMATION AND PERIPHERAL SURFCACE OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 30
DEGREES CELCIUS.
CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTANT. ORGANISATION HAS IMPROVED PAST 24
HOURS. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UPTO 700HPA. SYSTEM LIES SOUTH OF
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.
GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHEASTWARDS WITH
GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS MODERATE.
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NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.
93P INVEST 160229 0000 15.5S 152.5W SHEM 25 1003
