Meanwhile TD#13 on the horizon?

[cycloneye]

http://www.tormenta.net/frame_page.asp? ... BNT20.KNHC

That wave is slowly organizing and it looks like the next named system in comming days.

[wxman57]

Remember, allow at least 2-3 days for the NHC to ignore it, and another few days of calling it a TD when it's clearly a TS.

All indications are that with the ridge to its north very weak, it'll be a total fish storm.

[Lindaloo]

Remember, allow at least 2-3 days for the NHC to ignore it, and another few days of calling it a TD when it's clearly a TS.

All indications are that with the ridge to its north very weak, it'll be a total fish storm.

[cycloneye]

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03090421

The tropical models have it on a west track all of them so let's see if the ridge builds to it's north or not.

[wx247]

What there is nothing out there that is going to develop!!! LOL J/k. Yes Luis, that wave is something to watch.

[Vortex]

In the wake of Fabian ridging should strengthen to the North and this system will generally head w/wnw for the next 5 days at least. This system thus far this season is my biggest concern as the potential for it to become a major hurricane is likely and I fear given the synoptic set-up the next 5-10 days that this system will pose a much greater threat to the islands. This is the storm all attention will be focused on later next week.

[Aquawind]

Sounds logical Vortex :popcorn:

[cycloneye]

Yes I agree that the ridge will build in comming days not allowing it to go north but time will tell.

[AussieMark]

This storm potential could be more a threat to the islands than Fabian was due to the fact that this wave is further to the south than where Fabian formed.

[cycloneye]

Right now the well defined low is at 1008 mbs according to discussion at TPC and convection is slowly organizing near the low.

[wx247]

Yes, Luis. It does look slightly better organized tonight than it did this afternoon. Of course, that is to the uneducated that I possess. It bears watching...