Next tropical wave emerging off Africa (Is Invest 97L)
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Next tropical wave emerging off Africa (Is Invest 97L)
There isn't a thread for this wave yet but NHC has it at 40%. Some models do develop it, but they aren't too crazy like they are with 95L.
Last edited by CrazyC83 on Fri Sep 11, 2020 1:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Next tropical wave over Africa (to emerge ~Sept. 13)
10/40 on the 8 am TWO:
4. Another large area of disturbed weather associated with a tropical
wave is beginning to move off the west coast of Africa.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for development
during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form
over the far eastern tropical Atlantic early next week while the
system moves slowly westward. Upper-level winds could become less
conducive for development by Monday or Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
wave is beginning to move off the west coast of Africa.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for development
during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form
over the far eastern tropical Atlantic early next week while the
system moves slowly westward. Upper-level winds could become less
conducive for development by Monday or Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
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Re: Next tropical wave emerging off Africa
Models still don't seem too impressed with this. It might become like Rene and struggle in the wake of what is now 95L (Sally or Teddy).
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- Spacecoast
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Re: Next tropical wave emerging off Africa
GEPS has this wave doing something after a weird 12z run....
edit: this could from the wave after this next tropical wave?
edit: this could from the wave after this next tropical wave?
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Re: Next tropical wave emerging off Africa
Spacecoast wrote:GEPS has this wave doing something after a weird 12z run....
edit: this could from the wave after this next tropical wave?
https://i.ibb.co/ykmGh80/gem-ememb-lowlocs-watl-fh234-372.gif
I think your edit is right, the ensembles above appear to be from the wave after this next tropical wave. Looks like the tropics may stay busy for quite a while.
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Re: Next tropical wave emerging off Africa
Code: Select all
3. Another area of disturbed weather, associated with a tropical wave, is located near the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions support some development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic early next week while the system moves slowly westward. By mid-week, upper-level winds could become less conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
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This post is a personal point of view, not an information. Please refer to official statements for life-threatening decisions.
David '79, Frederic '79, Hugo '89, Iris, Luis & Marilyn '95, Georges '98, Lenny '99, Dean '07, Irma '17, Maria '17, Fiona '22, Philippe '23, Tammy '23
16°13'33.3,"6N -61°36'39.5"W
- ouragans
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Re: Next tropical wave emerging off Africa
This should be an Invest soon
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Personal forecast disclaimer
This post is a personal point of view, not an information. Please refer to official statements for life-threatening decisions.
David '79, Frederic '79, Hugo '89, Iris, Luis & Marilyn '95, Georges '98, Lenny '99, Dean '07, Irma '17, Maria '17, Fiona '22, Philippe '23, Tammy '23
16°13'33.3,"6N -61°36'39.5"W
This post is a personal point of view, not an information. Please refer to official statements for life-threatening decisions.
David '79, Frederic '79, Hugo '89, Iris, Luis & Marilyn '95, Georges '98, Lenny '99, Dean '07, Irma '17, Maria '17, Fiona '22, Philippe '23, Tammy '23
16°13'33.3,"6N -61°36'39.5"W
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Re: Next tropical wave emerging off Africa (Is Invest 97L)
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