SIO: ANIKA - Ex-TC

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Subtrop
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SIO: ANIKA - Ex-TC

#1 Postby Subtrop » Wed Feb 23, 2022 3:50 am

99S INVEST 220223 0600 12.0S 128.0E SHEM 15 0
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WAcyclone
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Re: SIO: INVEST 99S

#2 Postby WAcyclone » Wed Feb 23, 2022 11:13 pm

The first BoM track forecast for this system really highlights the extreme uncertainty in the models at the moment. A stronger system would probably move towards the south-west while a weaker system would likely move east. The possible centre positions at day 5 are spread over a 2100 km wide area.

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Re: SIO: Invest 99S

#3 Postby StormTracker89 » Fri Feb 25, 2022 5:00 am

Yellow Evan wrote:https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/733552978572869632/946650217892184114/IMG_2871.jpg

SHEM and unwarned on (by JTWC) systems with eyes name a more iconic duo.

Check the website https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html. Could have been warned maybe six hours earlier, but they did go with a 45kt initial intensity, very similar to ABOM (50kts) and did discuss RI potential, etc. which ABOM does not. So who you want to believe?
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Re: SIO: Invest 99S

#4 Postby aspen » Fri Feb 25, 2022 5:54 am

45 kt for a likely low-end hurricane…what’s even up with the agencies that monitor the SHEM? That’s twice in the last few weeks where they’ve fallen far behind a compact RI system.
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Re: SIO: Invest 99S

#5 Postby doomhaMwx » Fri Feb 25, 2022 10:12 am

Lol, looks like someone named the wrong thread. Vernon is supposed to be Invest 92S, not 99S (in fact, 99S is now 15S by JTWC). Well, the simultaneous existence of multiple systems lately can indeed be confusing.

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Re: SIO: 15S (former Invest 99S) - Tropical Depression

#6 Postby wxman57 » Fri Feb 25, 2022 10:23 am

Thread title fixed. It's now TC Anika, as named by BoM.
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Re: SIO: Anika - Tropical Cyclone

#7 Postby aspen » Fri Feb 25, 2022 11:14 am

15S already seems to be developing an eyewall:
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Re: SIO: ANIKA - Tropical Cyclone

#8 Postby cycloneye » Wed Mar 02, 2022 8:44 am

 https://twitter.com/KeviShader/status/1499015821632458758


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