ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

[Subtrop]

AL, 93, 2024100900, , BEST, 0, 283N, 730W, 40, 999, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 100, 0, 0, 1005, 150, 40, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 033, SPAWNINVEST, al762024 to al932024,

https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/bal932024.dat

[Pasmorade]

Could the NHC name this prior to it dying due to shear?

[MarioProtVI]

Rooting for this to become a short lived Nadine just to add onto the NS #.

[CrazyC83]

Since it's so close to Florida, I would let this one slip to the post-season even if it is nameable. Calling the system that is affecting them now Nadine would add confusion.

[MarioProtVI]

Since it's so close to Florida, I would let this one slip to the post-season even if it is nameable. Calling the system that is affecting them now Nadine would add confusion.

Leslie is also active right now, and in 2018 Nadine was named ironically as Michael neared Florida. Don’t see why they let it slip IMO.

[CrazyC83]

Since it's so close to Florida, I would let this one slip to the post-season even if it is nameable. Calling the system that is affecting them now Nadine would add confusion.

Leslie is also active right now, and in 2018 Nadine was named ironically as Michael neared Florida. Don’t see why they let it slip IMO.

Now that it's east of 75W, I can agree with naming it. But if the weather was affecting Florida, as it was yesterday when it was first given a 10/10 area, I would have let it slip to avoid confusion knowing Milton is an extreme threat looming - the last thing you'd want to do is confuse Floridians.

[weeniepatrol]

outhwestern Atlantic (AL93):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a gale-force non-tropical
low pressure system located northeast of the northwestern Bahamas
continue to become better organized. Although environmental
conditions appear only marginally favorable for additional
development, a short-lived tropical or subtropical storm could form
today or this evening while the low moves northeastward to
east-northeastward at around 15 mph. Upper-level winds are forecast
to increase later tonight, which should limit any chances for
further development. Additional information on this system,
including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued
by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Another system coming, I guess. The insane burst of activity continues.

[Pasmorade]

Southwestern Atlantic (AL93):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a gale-force non-tropical
low pressure system located about 375 miles west-southwest of
Bermuda have become less organized during the last several hours.
Although environmental conditions are becoming less favorable for
development, a short-lived tropical or subtropical storm could
still form today or this evening while the low moves northeastward
to east-northeastward at around 15 mph. Upper-level winds are
forecast to become too strong for further development later tonight.
Additional information on this system, including gale warnings,
can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Guess not...

[MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS]

Plenty of roads flooding in Bermuda from this. The rain was impressive.