18z updating

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Vortex
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18z updating

#1 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 09, 2003 5:34 pm

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CocoaBill
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#2 Postby CocoaBill » Tue Sep 09, 2003 5:35 pm

I don't have much confidence in this forecasted location for Issy
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#3 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Sep 09, 2003 6:20 pm

IF I WAS GAMBLING, I'D PROBABLY PLACE MY BET ON THIS TRACK. (OF COURSE, I'VE LOST A COUPLE FEW POKER GAMES IN MY TIME :roll: )
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Same Solution as 12Z model

#4 Postby MWatkins » Tue Sep 09, 2003 6:26 pm

The 18Z does take Isabel to around 21N or so but then does the pullback but not as drastically.

The Big note is that the trough that swings in around days 7/8 does not have nearly as much energy associated with it as the last 2 runs did...so the trend in the model without even following the Isabel feature is a flatter trough.

That's 2 in a row that have a SFL landfall then a run (very slow one) up the EC.

MW
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#5 Postby ameriwx2003 » Tue Sep 09, 2003 6:29 pm

Yes... 2 runs in a row and it is close to what the EURO has been showing though I haven't seen what todays EURO shows;):)
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