Isabel's strength

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Stormcenter
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Isabel's strength

#1 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Sep 11, 2003 3:44 pm

It's funny how the NHC has been down playing the ability for Isabel to maintain her strength the last few days. With every advisory we hear the same thing "she probably won't be able to maintain her intensity for long". Well hello folks at the NHC but she is now at 160mph and still growing. Why didn't the NHC see her strength potential? I'll tell you why, it's because" The models" didn't show predict it.
For once, I would like to see a discussion that does NOT refer to the models and just to good ole knowledge these guys (NHC) should have learned from past storms and many years of schooling. Hey I'm just blowing off some steam.
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weatherluvr
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#2 Postby weatherluvr » Thu Sep 11, 2003 3:52 pm

They base intensity forecasts based on the environment they expect a storm to be in. But I wonder what really makes one storm (ie Fabian) a 4, and another storm (ie Isabel) a 5, when they both seem to be in the exact same environment.
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