Quoting from the 11:00AM NHC Discussion:
It all boils down to this:
The key
will be how the central U.S. Trough evolves and how deep it digs
into the southern U.S. And Gulf of Mexico. The official forecast
was adjusted slightly to the left of and slower than the previous
forecast...which is consistent with the guna model consensus.
However...it is still too early to determine when or where Isabel
will make landfall. Hopefully...the NOAA Gulfstream-IV synoptic
data mission at 14/00z will provide better model convergence.
Until that time , every one from Florida up to the New England States need to pay attention and follow the future progress of this dangerous hurricane. The rule of thumb in Florida is: Any time you have a hurricane to your southeast moving west pay close attention untill it passes your latitude. Also in the discussion it does not imply that the Mid Atlantic States are at risk.Thoughts and comments welcome.
Robert
Several Key Factors Will Determine Isabel's Track
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