Have to go by what you SEE

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koto26
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Have to go by what you SEE

#1 Postby koto26 » Mon Sep 15, 2003 10:18 pm

I don't care what NHC, or anybody on here is saying, if this shear persists, she might barely be a hurricane later tomorrow, she is currently getting DESTROYED!!
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jaysonx
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#2 Postby jaysonx » Mon Sep 15, 2003 10:20 pm

Have got to agree with you here.. I have a feeling NHS will have a very interesting advisory at 5am when the storm has only moved another 30 miles north in 6 hours....
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jaysonx
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#3 Postby jaysonx » Mon Sep 15, 2003 10:23 pm

Although it is interesting to note, there has been a nice flare up of convection on the eastern side..

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
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soonertwister
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#4 Postby soonertwister » Mon Sep 15, 2003 10:28 pm

Disagree, think she's still in an eyewall cycle.

I thought she was transitioning to a conventional cane, but now I'm starting to think that she may go back to being annular again. The convection that is wrapping from the south to the north on the eastern half is very impressive, and I'm not seeing the kind of shear that you are talking about.

Isabel is still very dangerous.
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GalvestonDuck
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#5 Postby GalvestonDuck » Mon Sep 15, 2003 10:57 pm

After seeing what Claudette fought to get through , I'm not putting anything past Isabel to continue to be dangerous until she's undeniably, categorically kaput.
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SacrydDreamz
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#6 Postby SacrydDreamz » Mon Sep 15, 2003 11:00 pm

I think Isabel has already proven once that she can suprise.. does she have any suprises left? I'm thinking she does.. more along the intensity lines than tracking lines..
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