Don't be Fooled

[Steve H.]

Isabel is still a contender. She is organizing quite well again, and the cirrus on her western flank is fanning out as her center is getting better organized again. She will still be a strong hurricane when she makes landfall.

[hawksnestguy]

I'm new to all this deep forecasting on hurricanes so most of this stuff as a guess--but seeing all this shear and Izzy trying to reorganize herself makes me think she will strengthen again but obviously shes weakened some more. Everytime I say don't let your guard down, my parents laugh as if everythings going to be ok---guess I'm too much of a worry wart or too much wannabe -removed-, who knows?!?

[JCT777]

I agree that people should not let their guard down yet. Now if Isabel gets weakened to a minimal Category 1 hurricane just prior to landfall, then things will not be too bad. But I still think there is a decent chance Isabel is at least a Category 2 at landfall, and possibly a Cat 3 - because there is still some time and some warm waters for Isabel to restrengthen.

[hawksnestguy]

And thats what scares me--they won't issue any kind of major evacuation for Hampton Roads in time if the storm regenerates (if they let their guard down) and we'll be screwed! (If its a worst case scenario!)

[ncbird]

There is simply too many possibilities with Isabelle to let your guard down. My windows are boarded up, I am moving to a safer place. If she comes in as a TS or cat 1, hey I will be a very happy camper. But if she does come in stronger at least I will be prepared.

My Motto
Pray for the best
Prepare for the worst
Be Safe

ncbird

[hawksnestguy]

It works for me--just wish it could knock some sense into my family!