11pm: NO KATE YET... DEPRESSION POORLY ORGANIZED

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Josephine96

11pm: NO KATE YET... DEPRESSION POORLY ORGANIZED

#1 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Sep 25, 2003 9:48 pm

000
WTNT31 KNHC 260234
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU SEP 25 2003

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 39.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1380 MILES...2220 KM...EAST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH
...24 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME
A TROPICAL STORM IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...12.6 N... 39.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 25, 2003 9:55 pm

http://www.hwn.org/hadt41us.htm

Goodbye we say from the islands as the new track shows in the discussion we haved dodged another bullet and this season the islands have a barrier to protect them. :)
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abajan
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#3 Postby abajan » Thu Sep 25, 2003 9:56 pm

Kate or no Kate, it's clearly a fish.

LOL
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Deenac813
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#4 Postby Deenac813 » Fri Sep 26, 2003 6:22 am

abajan wrote:Kate or no Kate, it's clearly a fish.



Ok.. I am not saying you are wrong by any means.. I am just wondering why you think it is almost certainly a fish? This storm is more south that Isabel at this time.. what are the conditions that make it a fish over Isabel?

Deena (who is trying to learn :D )
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#5 Postby JCT777 » Fri Sep 26, 2003 7:26 am

Deenac813 - I agree and I think it is WAY too early to call TD 16/Kate a fish storm. This one needs to be watched closely.
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