Any word on if "Invest 90" or whatever number it is.. lol is closer to becoming a TD?
Just curious
Question...
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JetMaxx
It won't surprise me if Invest 90 is absorbed by the front in the GOM and never develops into anything. This is a major league trough....near record low temps forecast in Georgia tonight (already down to 53° here west of Atlanta with a dewpoint of 39°); and it's being reinforced by even colder, drier air in 48-72 hours.
Frost and freezing temps are forecast in portions of Northern Georgia and adjacent states by Friday morning....it's extremely early to see weather this cold in Atlanta (today was more like an early November day...high only reached 67°).
In fact, this is the type of intense cold front that can "kill" (end) a hurricane season...and IMO it will; at least for everyone living north of Tampa/ St Pete and Cape Canaveral. Look for sst's to fall markedly offshore the SE Atlantic coast and in the northern GOM in the next week.
Frost and freezing temps are forecast in portions of Northern Georgia and adjacent states by Friday morning....it's extremely early to see weather this cold in Atlanta (today was more like an early November day...high only reached 67°).
In fact, this is the type of intense cold front that can "kill" (end) a hurricane season...and IMO it will; at least for everyone living north of Tampa/ St Pete and Cape Canaveral. Look for sst's to fall markedly offshore the SE Atlantic coast and in the northern GOM in the next week.
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ColdFront77
The continual "potential for development" wouldn't exist if this tropical disturbance didn't have a chance.
A cold front stalled out several miles west of Hurricane Isabel as 'she' was approaching the North Carolina coast. There were reports here at Storm2K indicating the cool, dry air prior to landfall.
A cold front stalled out several miles west of Hurricane Isabel as 'she' was approaching the North Carolina coast. There were reports here at Storm2K indicating the cool, dry air prior to landfall.
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JetMaxx
ColdFront77 wrote:The continual "potential for development" wouldn't exist if this tropical disturbance didn't have a chance.
A cold front stalled out several miles west of Hurricane Isabel as 'she' was approaching the North Carolina coast. There were reports here at Storm2K indicating the cool, dry air prior to landfall.
This is a much different synoptic situation that what occurred with Isabel. We are now dealing with a November type trough and near record cold temps and more importantly, extremely low dewpoints. If you want to believe this Invest will explode into "Opal II", be my guest....but this system is far more likely to end up a frontal low pressure area crossing Florida than a major hurricane slamming into the Gulf Coast.
As far as potential, check the latest TWO from TPC.....they see the same strong frontal system and cold, dry air in place over the GOM I do (and a strong reinforcing shot on the way). If this system ever develops more than a TD, I'll be very surprised (and if it is called a tropical storm, it'll be the baroclinic hybrid-type. There's no way a purely tropical storm could exist in such an unfavorable enviroment). I have seen these type of systems many times in late October and November...and one lesson I've learned: when the weather pattern acts like November, expect November-type tropical storms....weak, ill defined, and far more likely to be sheared into dissapation than strengthen.
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ColdFront77
Hello Perry. I appreciate your reply very much.
I have been following tropical weather systems for nearly 20 years and know what is going on as well. I understand this is a different synoptic situation that what occurred with Isabel. I thought I'd make the compartive point. I am not believing that this Invest will explode into "Opal II" either.
The discussion here has been for the possibility for development as it has with the NHC/TPC. So I am adding my responses like everyone else is.
Sure, I see the same strong frontal system and cool (cold), dry air in place over the Gulf of Mexico.
There is a reason for us to be talking about this, or there wouldn't be all these threads and posts about the issue.
We will see what happens, no matter how surprising it may be.
I have been following tropical weather systems for nearly 20 years and know what is going on as well. I understand this is a different synoptic situation that what occurred with Isabel. I thought I'd make the compartive point. I am not believing that this Invest will explode into "Opal II" either.
The discussion here has been for the possibility for development as it has with the NHC/TPC. So I am adding my responses like everyone else is.
Sure, I see the same strong frontal system and cool (cold), dry air in place over the Gulf of Mexico.
There is a reason for us to be talking about this, or there wouldn't be all these threads and posts about the issue.
We will see what happens, no matter how surprising it may be.
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