This appears to be the first piece of energy breaking off to the NE that was progged a few days ago by the globals.
The energy has split with the best cyclonic rotation well south in the SW Caribbean. Noticing the surface winds (without visible is hard to determine, but it APPEARS that there are east or southeast winds on the southern side of the large flareup of convection.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
SF