JB thoughts..

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Vortex
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JB thoughts..

#1 Postby Vortex » Thu Oct 30, 2003 7:33 pm

Gales or storm force winds for S. Fl and keys Sunday night depending on if subtropical or Tropical. Then potential for hurricane at landfall along the central Gulf coast around Wednesday. I had forgotten Kate in 1985 which formed on November 16th had 120 mph winds and a 954 presure at its peak in the SE Gulf "WOW". The pattern is very very similar per JB. Definentely something to watch this weekend for people in florida and the Gulf coast.
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#2 Postby Steve H. » Thu Oct 30, 2003 7:37 pm

Thanks Vort. Was this from this morning, or an afternoon update?
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Combination of both also

#3 Postby Vortex » Thu Oct 30, 2003 7:41 pm

the avn and 18z gfdl after passing fl are trending more towards a western gulf landfall...We shall see
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Rainband

#4 Postby Rainband » Thu Oct 30, 2003 7:42 pm

I have one simple question. I have heard a cold fronts will be coming down? If this is the case how could this make it to the central Gulf coast? Don't front pick up systems?? Thats what I have heard and for that matter seen.... Just trying to learn. :wink: Thanks :)
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#5 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Oct 30, 2003 9:59 pm

Seems like something will have to get in gear pretty quick for all that action to materialize by Sunday night!
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#6 Postby Dean4Storms » Fri Oct 31, 2003 8:06 am

Rainband wrote:I have one simple question. I have heard a cold fronts will be coming down? If this is the case how could this make it to the central Gulf coast? Don't front pick up systems?? Thats what I have heard and for that matter seen.... Just trying to learn. :wink: Thanks :)


Cold Front over central CONUS is not expected to get pass the TN. Vly as the ridge keeps it hung up from out west to the NE well into late next week. The flow around the blocking ridge is what's expected to bring this low around it's southern periphery and into the central Gulf Coast area.

Tx. to the FL. Panhandle will have to keep an eye on this one with the western part of that area more at threat right now.
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ColdFront77

#7 Postby ColdFront77 » Fri Oct 31, 2003 4:54 pm

Yes indeed, the Jackson, Mississippi National Weather Service was mentioning that the cold front would approach there area not move through the eastern and southeastern United States because of the developing ridge in the Atlantic.
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Rainband

#8 Postby Rainband » Fri Oct 31, 2003 5:06 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:
Rainband wrote:I have one simple question. I have heard a cold fronts will be coming down? If this is the case how could this make it to the central Gulf coast? Don't front pick up systems?? Thats what I have heard and for that matter seen.... Just trying to learn. :wink: Thanks :)


Cold Front over central CONUS is not expected to get pass the TN. Vly as the ridge keeps it hung up from out west to the NE well into late next week. The flow around the blocking ridge is what's expected to bring this low around it's southern periphery and into the central Gulf Coast area.

Tx. to the FL. Panhandle will have to keep an eye on this one with the western part of that area more at threat right now.
Thanks dean :wink: and TOM :)
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Re: JB thoughts..

#9 Postby Derecho » Sat Nov 01, 2003 12:43 pm

Vortex wrote:Gales or storm force winds for S. Fl and keys Sunday night depending on if subtropical or Tropical. Then potential for hurricane at landfall along the central Gulf coast around Wednesday. I had forgotten Kate in 1985 which formed on November 16th had 120 mph winds and a 954 presure at its peak in the SE Gulf "WOW". The pattern is very very similar per JB. Definentely something to watch this weekend for people in florida and the Gulf coast.


Ummm...how much damage did Larry do when it hit the North GOM coast? I forget......
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JB thoughts

#10 Postby sunnyday » Sat Nov 01, 2003 1:13 pm

When did this happen? I know for sure I've been working too much when I lose track of a storm heading toward Fl. What part of Fl is in its path? Any info will be appreciated.......
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#11 Postby Steve H. » Sat Nov 01, 2003 1:47 pm

Ummmm, I think Derecho was just showing JB's verification of Larry. JB has gotten awful quiet concerning this low approaching the Bahamas. Wonder what's going through his mind today. I guess its better to be silent and be thought a fool, then to open your mouth and remove all doubt :roll: BTW, the low is heading westward, but no impressive convection at this time. Watching it though. These things can sometimes surprise you though....and usually its after they pass by Florida 8-) Windy here on the Space Coast though. Power's been going on and off.....gusting over 30 mph.
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