These are simply the numbers after crunching this year's forecasts, with error in nm, and cases in parenthesis. NHC 10 year average (or 2 year avg. for 96 and 120) are in brackets. And this is only for track; I haven't worked on intensity yet--I already know that won't be fun.
12HR----- 43.8 (125) [45]
24HR----- 77.5 (114) [81]
36HR----- 114.2 (103) [116]
48HR----- 144.6 (94) [150]
72HR----- 183.3 (75) [225]
96HR----- 231.0 (59) [282]
120HR---- 305.1 (45) [374]
Did slightly worse than last year 12HR through 48HR, but better from 72HR afterwards. I'll probably be releasing the raw numbers sometime soon, when I get the chance.
Preliminary forecast verifications
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ncweatherwizard
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