NHC 7:05 DISCUSSION "SPECIAL FEATURE".......

[dixiebreeze]

now for Caribbean tropical disturbance.......

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 AM EST MON 10 NOV 2003

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...AND ATLANTIC
OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N INCLUDING
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY... WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...
RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1030 UTC.

SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1006 MB LOW PRES...IS CENTERED OVER THE E
CARIBBEAN NEAR 16N67W MOVING NEWD 5 TO 10 KT. THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS BROAD AND
HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS.
HOWEVER...THE INTERACTION OF THE LOW WITH AN UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER HISPANIOLA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF
SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N-21N
BETWEEN 60W-68W. THIS ACTIVITY IS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND THE
THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS OVER PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
MAY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE LOW CENTER MOVES SLOWLY
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA TODAY...IF
NECESSARY.

[Josephine96]

Hmm.. Maybe the recon will find something Dixie.. It'd be interesting to see 1 more storm..