00 gfs -- 500 low shifts N again!! 8th run in ROW

[Guest]

god almighty the GFS just sucks with regard to EC snowstorms. . At 42 hrs on the 0z run the 500 low is another 50 Miles Further N than on 18z run

[weatherlover427]

Well not to diss you GFS haters; but I like it because it nailed that first big pattern change out here in the West back in October. So I wouldn't continually diss it IMO.

[Stormsfury]

Well not to diss you GFS haters; but I like it because it nailed that first big pattern change out here in the West back in October. So I wouldn't continually diss it IMO.

Josh, DT's point is the GFS does terrible with East Coast storms in the MR and part of that (a lot of that) are many biases that model has ... while the GFS does well in recognizing the general overall pattern, in regards to details, misses badly until go time (or the event is just about to commence) ... first of all, the GFS truncates ... out to 84 hours, the GFS model runs at a respectable 254/55 km resolution ...

As a matter, DT has a GREAT writeup regarding this very subject.

http://www.wxrisk.com/Meteorology/MRforecasting.htm

SF

[hooralph]

I'd kind of like it to stop right there... don't want it coming any more north. Though it does keep backing that 2" of precip in towards metro Boston. I'd start to worry more about rain. As it is, I'll believe mostly/all snow when I see it.