http://www.met-office.gov.uk/sec2/sec2c ... wtnt80.txt
This is the UKMET 12utc run.Let's see what the other global models say.
One global model jumps on 99L but fish all the way
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cycloneye
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One global model jumps on 99L but fish all the way
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Unless this is a sign of things to come, I really don't think we'll ever see this again.
If this system were sitting in the Gulf instead of the open Atlantic...there would be TS watches/warnings up all over the place.
Although the circulation seems broad...and with convection stuffed on the SE side...there is a better moisture envelope surrounding the convection than with several notable borderline systems called tropical storms closer to home (although there is a TON of dry air to the south)...and did you see this mornings QuikScat? Wow.
With the absence of an upper high...and the establised surface trough to the south...it's probably more cold-core than warm core.
But still...wow.
What an unbelievable season...
MW
If this system were sitting in the Gulf instead of the open Atlantic...there would be TS watches/warnings up all over the place.
Although the circulation seems broad...and with convection stuffed on the SE side...there is a better moisture envelope surrounding the convection than with several notable borderline systems called tropical storms closer to home (although there is a TON of dry air to the south)...and did you see this mornings QuikScat? Wow.
With the absence of an upper high...and the establised surface trough to the south...it's probably more cold-core than warm core.
But still...wow.
What an unbelievable season...
MW
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