BIG TIME cold taking shape ...

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Stormsfury
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BIG TIME cold taking shape ...

#1 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Dec 30, 2003 9:53 pm

http://www.stormsfury1.com

Go to My Forecast/Prognostic Discussion for details (once again, heavy on maps/loops).

SF
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Anonymous

#2 Postby Anonymous » Tue Dec 30, 2003 10:27 pm

The Trend is our Friend :)

However while I think there is some potential for a massive arctic outbreak, the noticeable absence of a -NAO sig as well as the continued presence of that pesky PacJet is enough to make me somewhat optimistic yet very cautious here. We also need to watch out for the SE Ridge.

Nice analysis SF as per usual.




-JEB
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#3 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Dec 30, 2003 10:35 pm

Jeb wrote:The Trend is our Friend :)

However while I think there is some potential for a massive arctic outbreak, the noticeable absence of a -NAO sig as well as the continued presence of that pesky PacJet is enough to make me somewhat optimistic yet very cautious here. We also need to watch out for the SE Ridge.

Nice analysis SF as per usual.

-JEB


Thanks, Jeb ... however, I think the SE ridge is gonna get beaten down ... it'll take a couple of waves to do that, but when it does ... LOOK THE ... OUT! ...
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#4 Postby Anonymous » Tue Dec 30, 2003 11:11 pm

Stormsfury wrote:
Jeb wrote:The Trend is our Friend :)

However while I think there is some potential for a massive arctic outbreak, the noticeable absence of a -NAO sig as well as the continued presence of that pesky PacJet is enough to make me somewhat optimistic yet very cautious here. We also need to watch out for the SE Ridge.

Nice analysis SF as per usual.

-JEB


Thanks, Jeb ... however, I think the SE ridge is gonna get beaten down ... it'll take a couple of waves to do that, but when it does ... LOOK THE ... OUT! ...



I hope you're right on that SE Ridge, SF.................

I'd really love to go out on a jebwalk some night soon and personally experience temps near zero or below with dewpoints around -20 and brisk 30 to 50 mph winds!!

Coldest jebwalk so far this winter season was made in a 31/7 Temperature/Dewpoint spread set-up with light winds, but I'd like to find out what a -4/-23 Temperature/Dewpoint spread jebwalk would be like.

It would sure be a far cry from that 77/64 T/D spread at OBX in October.


-JEB
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#5 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Dec 30, 2003 11:24 pm

Whoa...

00z Canadian says, HELLO, CROSS-POLAR...

Image

Image

Image

Image
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Anonymous

#6 Postby Anonymous » Wed Dec 31, 2003 12:42 am

With a 516 dcm over N VA I would have to say--------It's a really cool, refreshing day in the neighborhood :) Great sleeping weather with refreshing winds. Excellent weather, the kind that really makes it feel great to be alive!

BRING IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Cross-Polar JEB!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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DCmetroraleigh

#7 Postby DCmetroraleigh » Wed Dec 31, 2003 7:53 pm

Crossing my fingers.
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#8 Postby Lowpressure » Wed Dec 31, 2003 8:36 pm

Jeb- I look forward to snow, but you make me laugh sometimes with you lust for polar conditions.
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#9 Postby Lehigh » Wed Dec 31, 2003 9:09 pm

I don't know SF.....................conditions out there seem to be changing
very quickly.

I see the temps rising higher on those days I was seeing colder temps.

I don't know SF...................I just don't know.

I beginning to wonder........................ :)
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#10 Postby Stormsfury » Wed Dec 31, 2003 9:11 pm

Lehigh wrote:I don't know SF.....................conditions out there seem to be changing
very quickly.

I see the temps rising higher on those days I was seeing colder temps.

I don't know SF...................I just don't know.

I beginning to wonder........................ :)


They are and will continue to do so, which is the game is now to anticipate the models next move ... BTW, new thread about myself still standing by last night's discussion ...

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=22082
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#11 Postby 2001kx » Wed Dec 31, 2003 10:30 pm

dc what kind of pic is that :eek:
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#12 Postby Guest » Wed Dec 31, 2003 11:45 pm

It was one that was inappropriate for this board 2001kx.

As the Admin on duty tonight - I made the decision to remove it.

If you have any other questions regarding it - please contact me via PM.

Thanks,
Ticka1
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