First Call Midwest/Ohio Valley

[Anonymous]

My first Call for this system for the Ohio Valley and Midwest is on my website at http://www.indianaweatheronline.com

Let me know what you guys think!

[StormCrazyIowan]

I think riding the heaviest line sounds pretty darn good to me, and from what I've seen, looks pretty accurate.

[JCT777]

The map looks pretty good.

Jacki - I hope you see heavy snow from this storm.

[wx247]

I am interested in that ice line Indianawx. You look pretty on target. I might move the heaviest snow just a little farther north though.

[Guest]

I am interested in that ice line Indianawx. You look pretty on target. I might move the heaviest snow just a little farther north though.

Well this is where i am at odds on both actually. Im taking it your gone with the GFS alone Garrett??? If so she will burn you badly! Be carefull especially when we have artic air to the north trying to make a push to the south which this is doing and as well i for one from watching this now a good day would bring that mix line atleast to i70 in IN and OH all the way to just west of Pittsburgh, PA. Right now it seems the GFS is one of only two bringing the storm as far north. The newer ETA 18z now has the low south of the river south of IN and OH going into WV from KY which actually may pull the Freezing line even farther to the south. With how the GFS has done so far this year (crapola) i would place my money on the ETA which either way has alot more support and has done alot better then the gfs at this timeframe.

As i mentioned yesterday which seems to be happening now the models would catch on to the Artic air and eventually push the storm track farther south as what we are seeing now!

Will be intresting to see how the 18z gfs deals with this!!!!

I will make a call on this later on this evening or tonight as i think the models still have a little adjusting to do.

Below is the 18z ETA and shows what im talking about with the system staying just south of the river!!!



And this!

[therock1811]

.........and as well i for one from watching this now a good day would bring that mix line atleast to i70 in IN and OH all the way to just west of Pittsburgh, PA. Right now it seems the GFS is one of only two bringing the storm as far north. The newer ETA 18z now has the low south of the river south of IN and OH going into WV from KY which actually may pull the Freezing line even farther to the south.

And this means what for me??? Do I stay rain or do I see a change per this thinking?? And BTW in Brandon's other topic on this storm, I mentioned that I feel a changeover is going to occur on the backside...what do you think of this??

[Anonymous]

If the arctic boundary shifts south and east, the pcpn zones will have to be adjusted south and east. The models can be slow to pick up on cold air advection.


JEB