What is the potential for a MECS Next Weekend? Jan 18th-20t

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Chris the Weather Man
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What is the potential for a MECS Next Weekend? Jan 18th-20t

#1 Postby Chris the Weather Man » Sun Jan 11, 2004 12:20 pm

Anyone, have any ideas?


I Would like to a 1996 Repeat, But Yet, It very hard to get a repeat of 1996 Blizzard. But, Will this be on par, if not stronger than the President day Blizzard? I still want to see about 25-30 inches of snow............. :wink:
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#2 Postby Colin » Sun Jan 11, 2004 12:54 pm

IMO, the potential has decreased a lot. We'll see though.
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#3 Postby BL03 » Sun Jan 11, 2004 4:52 pm

Next weekend not the big one. The big one COULD be around Jan 20-23!
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#4 Postby Chris the Weather Man » Sun Jan 11, 2004 7:49 pm

IMO it may happen on the 19th-21st ( That's My bet)
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#5 Postby BL03 » Sun Jan 11, 2004 9:39 pm

Yeah got my dates mixed up!
It could be around the 20th!
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#6 Postby Stormchaser16 » Sun Jan 11, 2004 9:45 pm

I agree with Colin, much less potential now then just a few days ago, but still plenty of time for that to change
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#7 Postby Dj3 » Sun Jan 11, 2004 9:53 pm

So is there still a chance for a pretty large storm sometime near the 20th? I have been hearing people talk about a big storm to come and it seems like it keeps getting pushed back.
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#8 Postby Stormchaser16 » Sun Jan 11, 2004 9:54 pm

Yes there is still a possibility
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#9 Postby verycoolnin » Sun Jan 11, 2004 11:32 pm

The bigs ones always seem to have little warning though.
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#10 Postby Stormsfury » Mon Jan 12, 2004 8:20 am

verycoolnin wrote:The bigs ones always seem to have little warning though.


Not always ...

The Blizzard of 1996, The Superstorm of 1993 were all seen well ahead in advance, and also basically so was the Blizzard of 1978 ... Why? Relatively simple pattern ...

Unlike our current situation where we basically have the map littered with s/w systems, this and that. Timing issues, and a very complex situation with plays HAVOC with NWP models. This is the same kind of complex pattern that happened with JAN 24-25, 2000 for example.

SF
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#11 Postby JCT777 » Mon Jan 12, 2004 10:05 am

Good post, SF. The potential exists for a nice storm, now let's see how things play out over the next 10 days.
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