Tuesday Winter Storm

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Tuesday Winter Storm

#1 Postby Anonymous » Sun Jan 25, 2004 9:24 am

I have been hearing that tuesdays storm could be the big one for the Northeast. Could someone explain to me if there will be a changeover and how much snow er could possible get?
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#2 Postby Colin » Sun Jan 25, 2004 10:13 am

this is a HIT for NYC NORTH ...... possible 1' foot or more. Your area won't be affected much...either will my area.
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#3 Postby Chris the Weather Man » Sun Jan 25, 2004 10:14 am

Dang........ I live in NE NJ............... 12-16"?
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#4 Postby Colin » Sun Jan 25, 2004 10:23 am

Chris the Weather Man wrote:Dang........ I live in NE NJ............... 12-16"?


No...not near that...more like 4-8" if that.
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#5 Postby BL03 » Sun Jan 25, 2004 12:42 pm

Colin wrote:
Chris the Weather Man wrote:Dang........ I live in NE NJ............... 12-16"?


No...not near that...more like 4-8" if that.



I think its a little early for that kind of a call!
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#6 Postby Chris the Weather Man » Sun Jan 25, 2004 12:49 pm

Colin wrote:
Chris the Weather Man wrote:Dang........ I live in NE NJ............... 12-16"?



No...not near that...more like 4-8" if that.



Colin, I live North of NYC.........
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#7 Postby FLguy » Sun Jan 25, 2004 12:53 pm

Chris the Weather Man wrote:
Colin wrote:
Chris the Weather Man wrote:Dang........ I live in NE NJ............... 12-16"?



No...not near that...more like 4-8" if that.



Colin, I live North of NYC.........


dont worry the GFS QPF vlaues keep going up. NYC is in a solid 1.00" of liquid. with an area of 1.25" further north. no worries. this is a hit from philly north in the areas where p-type stays all snow.
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#8 Postby FLguy » Sun Jan 25, 2004 12:53 pm

Image

tell me thats not a good snow event.
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#9 Postby thstorm87 » Sun Jan 25, 2004 12:54 pm

a hit from philly north you say flguy? How much do you see for philly as of right now for second event?
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#10 Postby thstorm87 » Sun Jan 25, 2004 12:56 pm

yea looks real good, but the only question, is how much of that is actually snow on tuesday here in philly? and how much is rain or ice?
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#11 Postby FLguy » Sun Jan 25, 2004 1:00 pm

thstorm87 wrote:a hit from philly north you say flguy? How much do you see for philly as of right now for second event?


depends largely on precip type.
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#12 Postby FLguy » Sun Jan 25, 2004 1:02 pm

QPF keeps going up with almost every single run of the GFS, so i would venture to believe that as we get closer to verification time i would not be shocked to see some 1.50-1.75" totals show up across PA/NJ/NY and new england.
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#13 Postby FLguy » Sun Jan 25, 2004 1:05 pm

none of it should be plain rain in PHL. the boundary layer should remain solidly below freezing throuhout. so it really amounts to a ZRA/IP problem.

right now areas north/west of the big cities (phl-nyc corridor) such as MDT, UNV, IPT, BGM, AVP, ABE, MSV, MPO, ALB get slammed. as well as southern new england. BDL, BOX, PSF, and others.
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#14 Postby Colin » Sun Jan 25, 2004 1:19 pm

Could I possibly get a foot or more here?
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#15 Postby FLguy » Sun Jan 25, 2004 1:22 pm

Colin wrote:Could I possibly get a foot or more here?


with an inch of liquid its going to be damn close. if it goes up more to say 1.25" or 1.50" then were talking about over a foot (if ratios are at least 10:1)
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#16 Postby nystate » Sun Jan 25, 2004 1:27 pm

What about Central/Northern New York state like Syracuse and/or Watertown?
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#17 Postby Colin » Sun Jan 25, 2004 1:27 pm

Sounds good! :D
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#18 Postby Anonymous » Sun Jan 25, 2004 1:38 pm

even with a slight changeover in phil and tewards the east, with a solid 1 to 1 1/2 of liquid that would still be something like 8-10 inches of snow, wright?
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#19 Postby Anonymous » Sun Jan 25, 2004 1:53 pm

I am northeast of philadelphia. My location is about in line with trenton, nj or a littly bit south, but east. So locations that are philadelphia and north will get slammed with heavy snow by the time this is all said and done.
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