Paul Kocin

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greg81988
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Paul Kocin

#1 Postby greg81988 » Sun Feb 15, 2004 8:07 am

Did anyone just see Paul Kocin on the weather channel he is calling for a band of 3-6 inches of snow from richmond,va south to raleigh tonight. but on there website they dont even call for snow tonight in richmond. whats up with that?
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rainstorm

#2 Postby rainstorm » Sun Feb 15, 2004 8:11 am

maybe they havent updated yet
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verycoolnin
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#3 Postby verycoolnin » Sun Feb 15, 2004 9:25 am

it looked like 3-6 upto Williamburg and Gloucter, not Richmond.
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WXBUFFJIM
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Accumulation outlook

#4 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Sun Feb 15, 2004 11:47 am

I think 3-6" sounds good for Raleigh with about the same amount for Winston Salem.

For VAB, 3-6" sounds good with 4-8" in Wakefield and Norfolk. 2-5" is likely for Newport News, VA. However it appears there maybe a dusting in Richmond with more snow south and east and nothing north and west. That's the expectation right now. The northern cutoff line will likely be very sharp. Thus don't be surprised is say Richmond sees no snow, but 5-10 miles away, snow accumulates and the potential exists of a significant accumulation. Even Williamsburg could see several inches of snow tonight. That's the kind of situation we're talking about. December 2000 had a sharp cutoff feature likewise in the tidewater vicinity.

Something to watch is the upper low as it moves east northeast and a new low develops at the surface off the Carolina coast tonight. The comma head or the most intense part of the snowstorm will likely be from SE VA through north central NC. That's where the expected heaviest swath of snow is expected to occur.

Jim
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verycoolnin
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#5 Postby verycoolnin » Sun Feb 15, 2004 12:15 pm

For VAB, 3-6" sounds good with 4-8" in Wakefield and Norfolk. 2-5" is likely for Newport News, VA
huh? Wakefield is 30-40 miles north and west of Newport News. While Norfolk is just 10 miles SE of Newport News. My point is, with the system moving ENE and the majority of the precip to the south. Wakefield will not pickup more snow than Newport News, Newport News should recieve about the same total as Norfolk. I'm thinking there will be a widespread 4-6 inches of snow thoughout SE VA.
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#6 Postby greg81988 » Sun Feb 15, 2004 12:20 pm

Well what can Richmond,VA expect for the next storm on Tuesday???
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Tidewater

#7 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Sun Feb 15, 2004 12:30 pm

At least the tidewater is expected to receive significant snow tonite during the overnight, which doesn't occur much 9 times out of 10. Good suggestion is enjoy it down there and stay off the roads tonight into early Monday am.

Jim
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verycoolnin
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#8 Postby verycoolnin » Sun Feb 15, 2004 12:37 pm

for this storm i think Richmond will pickup 2-4 inches of snow. The next storm Richmond should expect around 8 inches.
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ColdFront77

#9 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Feb 15, 2004 5:09 pm

verycoolnin wrote:huh? Wakefield is 30-40 miles north and west of Newport News. While Norfolk is just 10 miles SE of Newport News.

Wakefield, VA is about 30 miles due west of Newport News, VA.

This is odd... Yahoo! Maps indicates two Wakefield's in Virgnia when entering "Driving Directions." In my atlas and my map program... Wakefield, VA is about 30 miles west of Newport News, VA; the other is indeed 30 to 40 miles northwest of Newport News.

The address of the National Weather Service office in Wakefield, VA is about 30 miles due west of Newport News, according to Yahoo! Maps.
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Anonymous

#10 Postby Anonymous » Sun Feb 15, 2004 6:36 pm

Okay folks I have a really dumb question as usual. Sorry lol.

I know for a fact that tonight's storm will leave Woodbridge VA high and dry.

Concerning Tuesday into Wednesday, I think we will see flurries to about 2 inches of snow (with the midweek storm).

How accurate is that? Am I right about on target, or is this something I should not even get my hopes up for even flurries lol?


Thanks in advance :)



-Jeb
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David
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#11 Postby David » Sun Feb 15, 2004 6:44 pm

You got a better shot at flurries then me, Jeb. :D
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WXBUFFJIM
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About Wakefield

#12 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Sun Feb 15, 2004 7:33 pm

Wakefield is further inland from the coast to begin with. The bottom line here temps are expected to be colder in Wakefield than say the coastal sections such as Virginia Beach, thus the higher snow totals. So that means inland areas are likely gonna see heavier snow amounts than near the coast. While 4-8" of snow is possible in Norfolk and 3-6" in Virginia Beach, that snow will be a very wet, heavy and almost slushy snow. However in Wakefield given they're further inland and colder from the start, the snow will be more powdery, thus the potential for closer to 8" there than say 4 inches. It's 32 in Wakefield as of 7 pm. It as 36 last hour. But it's 36 in Norfolk at 7 pm. So a very fine line there given the fact that colder temps will cause the snow to pile up quicker further west away from the water. In the case of Wakefield, that's a given. Newport News on the other hand is near the water. So less snow is possible in the newport News area. But still to see 2-5" or perhaps as much as 3-6" of snow in Newport News is really saying something since it doesn't happen every winter season. Norfolk and Chesapeake, VA will likely still see 4-8" of snow. While that snow is wetter, the intensity maybe heavier as well.

The bottom line here is we still are expecting a significant amount of snow for southeast Virginia and the tidewater area tonight whether you're near the coast or not. That's the bottom line here.

Jim
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