HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS...UPDATED

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS...UPDATED FOR WIND ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
730 AM CST THU MAR 4 2004

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730 AM CST WED MAR 4 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS. IN
ADDITION...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR ALL
NORTH TEXAS COUNTIES.

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL
TRIGGER NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS
TODAY. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING...WILL
INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS
AFTERNOON...AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE LIFTS NORTHWARD INTO OKLAHOMA
AND A DRY LINE MOVES EAST ACROSS THE STATE. AS LIFT INCREASES WITH
THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER DISTURBANCE...A CAP OF WARM AIR ALOFT WILL
ERODE AND ALLOW STORMS TO STRENGTHEN. VERTICAL WIND PROFILES
INDICATE SOME STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE WIND GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND LARGE HAIL. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE...HOWEVER...THE GREATER THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL BE NORTH
AND WEST OF THE REGION...CLOSER TO THE SURFACE LOW AND RETREATING
WARM FRONT.

ALONG WITH THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCERS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OVER NEAR SATURATED
SOILS WILL BRING A THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING. THUS A FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS TODAY.

THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON...WITH ALL STORMS MOVING EAST OF THE REGION BY MID
EVENING.

STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 20 AND 35 MPH WITH
SOME GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH WILL PREVAIL ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS
TODAY AND A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE
BETWEEN 15 TO 25 MPH THIS EVENING AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY TODAY...BEGINNING WEST OF INTERSTATE 35
BEFORE NOON...AND CONTINUING EAST OF INTERSTATE 35 DURING THE
AFTERNOON.