
PWATS

Boundary Layer - 6KM Shear

Hmmm.....I'm not sure what this suggest to you, but to me it suggests a big flooding threat for the southern portion of the country on today. Models are in line and it looks like it's definately going to be a washout. From MS eastward expect instability in the late afternoon hours to allow convection to develop into multi-cell clusters will weak deep layer shear in place. High PWATs and cold air aloft will sustain a large hail/damaging microburst potential. Further west near the trough, PVA and sfc boundaries could inhibit in some small scale torandic thunderstorms across the area today. College Station TX to the west will be too stable for any severe potential on today. The OH Valley could be a target area late in the afternoon with a mid level dry slot beginning to push in the region. As dynamics lift out watch for storms to fire in that area as well.