still dry in SE FL

[boca]

While everyone else is finally getting much needed rainfall here in SE Fl its still desert like conditions.

[TampaFl]

Same here in Tampa and the surrounding Bay area. Today there were some storms to our north in Pasco and Hernado Co. As I write there is an thunderstorm developing in eastern Hillsborough Co and it is starting to cloud up here It has been 29 days with no rain here at my home 12 miles east of downtown Tampa. It appears that most of the state in the next several days should get some much needed H2O The rainy season can't get started soon enough.

Robert

[EDR1222]

A couple of good rains in Brevard County yesterday and today. Looks more widespread the next couple of days. If the mid level southwest flow eases, you guys in Tampa should start to get your share courtesy of the east coast sea breeze pushing across. It shouldn't be too much longer.

[Josephine96]

No rain yet in my part of Osceola County... I've been dry for days

[rainydaze]

Hey Boca, up here in Palm Beach Gardens it's 10:35 at night and it's been raining off and on all evening...lots of thunder too....FINALLY!!!

[MWatkins]

Good news...by Friday what remains of the ridge over us will start to break down and finally allow the seabreeze fronts to start kicking in.

http://bricker.met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/avn ... =Animation

Note the 500MB ridge in the 12Z ETA (the ETA is bad for the tropics...but is good with stuff like this):

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_000m.gif

Starting Friday...the ridge will break down and allow a southwesterly flow to kick in...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_048m.gif

This will make for some good daytime thunderstorm activity and more or less open the rainy season.

MW

[Patrick99]

I'm down in S. Miami - I'm not buying all the talk of "rainy season begins" in all the area forecast discussions, until it actually starts raining. Down here, we have still had *nothing*.

That SE flow has been very, very persistent, keeping any activity (not that there's that much anyway) inland. It's weaker now, but it's still there. What annoys me is that with that flow, we at least usually get some morning showers and thunderstorms....we haven't even had any of that.

[WhirlWind]

We had a huge thunderstorm go over last night, wind blew, thunder, lighting, and NOT A DROP OF RAIN :cryThis is just plain crazy!!
Send some rain our way for those of you that are geting it.

WhirlWind

[jlauderdal]

I'm down in S. Miami - I'm not buying all the talk of "rainy season begins" in all the area forecast discussions, until it actually starts raining. Down here, we have still had *nothing*.

That SE flow has been very, very persistent, keeping any activity (not that there's that much anyway) inland. It's weaker now, but it's still there. What annoys me is that with that flow, we at least usually get some morning showers and thunderstorms....we haven't even had any of that.

NE Fort Luaderdale and not a drop of rain or lightning or dark clouds or anything resembling convective activity. Sprinklers running 3 times a week and spot watering where necessary. I read that Miam AFD this morning and it sure seems to me there is not much if anything expected on the immediete coast in the next week for Dade and Broward. Pool is up to 89 but thats about the only positive. Driving to Orlando tomorrow for the day maybe i will see some t-storms up there.

[HurricaneGirl]

Seems like once June 1st rolled around.. so did the rain and thunderstorms here in Northeastern Florida. May was as dry as a bone.

[Dean4Storms]

I would be very surprised to not see much of Florida explode with convection this afternoon (Thurs.) and over the next several days especially in the heat of the day. A front is stalling over the SE allowing for Upper disturbances to ride around the southern periphery of the ridge to the north of the front. These upper disturbances should send a series of squalls across the northern half of Florida which in turn should send outflow boundaries down the peninsula. Most of the activity should be moving from west to east, although SE FL. could see some shower activity move in from the SE today.

I would say the chances of rain over most of FL for the next couple of days is highest northern half and somewhat more 30-40% southern half.

[HurricaneGirl]

YAY!!