Any thoughts/speculation on........

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dixiebreeze
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Any thoughts/speculation on........

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Wed Jun 02, 2004 6:39 pm

the BOC in the next week?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/IR4/20.jpg
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#2 Postby FWBHurricane » Wed Jun 02, 2004 9:25 pm

I dont think if the convection moves into the BOC it will develop because in the next few days the environment is going to shift dramtically. The area will be dominated with windshear like the rest of the Gulf.
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BayouVenteux
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The Gulf next week...

#3 Postby BayouVenteux » Wed Jun 02, 2004 11:44 pm

If trough drops, lifts out, and splits a piece off as some models suggest, we might see the tropical moisture feeding northward into the S-SE U.S., maybe even good soaking rains for –dare I say it? – Florida!

Personally, I'm hoping the tropics can hold off on any serious business 'til after July 4th thereabouts, so the family and I can take our 7-day cruise in the SW Caribbean later this month. 8-) :D
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BOC Mess Next Week

#4 Postby KatDaddy » Thu Jun 03, 2004 6:55 am

A few of the NWS discussions are stating the GFS wants to develop a low pressure area in the BOC.

Here are a few excerpts:

Brownsville Disc:

THE GFS SEEMS TO WANT TO DEVELOP SOMETHING IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AS
EARLY AS THIS SUNDAY. IF THE LOW PERSISTS...SHOWER CHANCES WILL ALSO
BEGIN TO INCREASE NEXT TUESDAY AND WILL LAST THROUGH THE END OF THE
AVAILABLE GFS GRIDS...240 HOURS.

New Orleans DIsc:

GFS ADVERTISING SOME
DEEP MOISTURE COVERING THE ENTIRE GULF BY 192+ HOURS. THEN THE GFS
BEGINS ITS NATURAL SUMMERTIME PROCESS OF NOT BEING ABLE TO TRANSFER
THE LATENT HEATING AT THE SFC AND ALOFT IN THE PRESENCE OF LIGHT
WINDS AND CREATES A MESS IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE???
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#5 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Jun 03, 2004 11:27 am

I was just about to post the same thing from the NWS New Orleans. Anywho it will give us something to look out for next week.
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Yes I agree.

#6 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Jun 03, 2004 1:43 pm

Yes I agree at least it may give us something to look at for this upcoming weekend. Will the BOC give us our first TD of the season?
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