Stright to Tropical Storm Alex....

Anonymous · #1 Postby **Anonymous** » Sat Jun 12, 2004 4:40 pm

Notice most systems that we watch with "AN EAGLE'S EYE" most of them go stright to Tropical Storm. Barry, Bill, Erika, Larry, ALEX? Watching for a depression to form and BANG, TS. If this does develop, I don't know how strong it wll get. Gulf, summer, unpredictable no matter how much shear. But, I have a feeling when Hurricane Hunters go out, they will find a newborn named Alex.

Website · #2 Postby **Brent** » Sat Jun 12, 2004 4:42 pm

Are we talking about the same blob?

It looks absolutely horrible.

Anonymous · #3 Postby **Anonymous** » Sat Jun 12, 2004 4:45 pm

No, actually it looks pretty damn good. BETTER THAN LAST NIGHT. Today is key. This is it. If it dies badly tonight and IS dead tomorrow, than it is gone.

Rainband · #4 Postby **Rainband** » Sat Jun 12, 2004 4:45 pm

Brent wrote:Are we talking about the same blob?

It looks absolutely horrible.

I agree. It's looks pretty bad. The convection is all displaced to the east away from the WEAK LLC :wink:

ColdFront77 · #5 Postby **ColdFront77** » Sat Jun 12, 2004 4:47 pm

Rainband wrote:I agree. It's looks pretty bad. The convection is all displaced to the east away from the WEAK LLC

But its consistent convection, which most definately is better than none at all and/or those systems that wane and flare up.

Website · #6 Postby **Brent** » Sat Jun 12, 2004 4:49 pm

The Popup storms over the Southeast are getting close to looking better. LOL :lol:

Josephine96 · #7 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Jun 12, 2004 4:49 pm

I do agree that the convection does look displaced.. But I also think it looks healthy..

If the convection can head closer to the storms center.. and the center can become established.. It is possible that Alex or at least Tropical Depression # 1 could be born.

PTrackerLA · #8 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Sat Jun 12, 2004 4:52 pm

Looks like a classic developing TD that is being sheared :wink:

.

lilbump3000 · #9 Postby **lilbump3000** » Sat Jun 12, 2004 4:53 pm

All i can say is we will see when the recon go out there tomorrow.

#10 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Jun 12, 2004 4:53 pm

Rainband wrote:
Brent wrote:Are we talking about the same blob?

It looks absolutely horrible.
I agree. It's looks pretty bad. The convection is all displaced to the east away from the WEAK LLC

HELLO PEOPLE, What do you want from this system? To look like Isabel at its high or just Floyd when it was over the Bahamas. WE ARE LOOKING TO A SYSTEM THAT AGAINST ALL ODDS WENT FROM AN UPPER LOW TO A SURFACE LOW. Also, not all systems will look like Claudette at its beginning. I DON'T KNOW WHAT PEOPLE ARE THINKING. I'M SORRY, BUT YOU PEOPLE ARE WANTING TOO MUCH FROM THIS SYSTEM.

Sandy Delgado

Josephine96 · #11 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Jun 12, 2004 4:54 pm

Sandy.. We're all just excited because we probably can't wait to start putting dots on our tracking charts lol

Rainband · #12 Postby **Rainband** » Sat Jun 12, 2004 4:56 pm

HURAKAN wrote:HELLO PEOPLE, What do you want from this system? To look like Isabel at its high or just Floyd when it was over the Bahamas. WE ARE LOOKING TO A SYSTEM THAT AGAINST ALL ODDS WENT FROM AN UPPER LOW TO A SURFACE LOW. Also, not all systems will look like Claudette at its beginning. I DON'T KNOW WHAT PEOPLE ARE THINKING. I'M SORRY, BUT YOU PEOPLE ARE WANTING TOO MUCH FROM THIS SYSTEM.

Sandy Delgado

Umm ...I don't want anything from this system just stating what I see :wink:

ColdFront77 · #13 Postby **ColdFront77** » Sat Jun 12, 2004 4:56 pm

What should we be saying while monitoring this tropical disturbance? We are giving our opinions on the feature which unfortunately may be sounding like we think that we expect more from this.

Most if not all of us here understand that June and July are typically tranquil months in the tropics, but at the same time this is a very good climatological area for tropical cyclongensis.

ColdFront77 · #14 Postby **ColdFront77** » Sat Jun 12, 2004 4:58 pm

Rainband wrote:Umm ...I don't want anything from this system just stating what I see

Of course we do, we are weather enthusiasts.

Rainband · #15 Postby **Rainband** » Sat Jun 12, 2004 4:59 pm

ColdFront77 wrote:
Rainband wrote:Umm ...I don't want anything from this system just stating what I see

Of course we do, we are weather enthusiasts.

I agree TOM. :wink:

All I was saying was I won't be disappointed if nothing comes from it. 8-)

ColdFront77 · #16 Postby **ColdFront77** » Sat Jun 12, 2004 4:59 pm

Alrighty, Johnathan. Understood. 8-)

lilbump3000 · #17 Postby **lilbump3000** » Sat Jun 12, 2004 5:00 pm

UMMMMMMMMMMMMM excuse me actually nobody said they were expecting a system like isabel or floyd. If you in your right mind you will know that will never happen with that stuff in the gulf. People might just want to see atleast a weak tropical storm out of it.

ALL I HAVE TO SAY IS IF THE STORM DEVELOPS WELL IT DEVELOPS. IF IT DONT WELL THEN O WELL, THERE WILL BE MANY MORE STORMS IN YOUR LIFETIME THAT YOU WILL SEE.

Anonymous · #18 Postby **Anonymous** » Sat Jun 12, 2004 5:10 pm

Exactly. What is the absolute most a puny storm like this can become. Well, for this one, I say 65 mph, BUT CLAUDETTE hit 90-100 mph.

Website · #19 Postby **Brent** » Sat Jun 12, 2004 5:12 pm

~Floydbuster wrote:Exactly. What is the absolute most a puny storm like this can become. Well, for this one, I say 65 mph, BUT CLAUDETTE hit 90-100 mph.

40-45 mph. It will be inland Monday. No time for 65 mph.

Anonymous · #20 Postby **Anonymous** » Sat Jun 12, 2004 5:24 pm

In gulf, no matter what, YOU HAVE TO WATCH. Remember Barry...

Stright to Tropical Storm Alex....

Stright to Tropical Storm Alex....

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