Big changes with GOM mess?

#1 Postby **Stormcenter** » Sun Jun 13, 2004 1:08 am

Folks I still believe we will have a TD or TS form in the GOM. The major change now is that it will probably be off the Yucatan east coast and not the NW GOM. What I thought was a temporary burst of convection off the Yucatan east coast has persisted for over 6 hours and "may"
(that's a BIG may) be the beginnings of something. The key thing to note is that it's NOT moving at all. Now it may end up dissapating and we have nothing but I just don't think that will be the case. Oh well only time will tell. 8-)

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

ColdFront77 · #2 Postby **ColdFront77** » Sun Jun 13, 2004 1:12 am

Yes indeed, that cluster of thunderstorms off the Yucatan peninsula MAY develop a LLC and makes things more interesting. A slow down and/or stall would mean a longer time over the warm Gulf waters.

Josephine96 · #3 Postby **Josephine96** » Sun Jun 13, 2004 2:42 am

It could also mean more chance of a landfall for say Alabama or Florida.

The longer it sits.. The more of a chance that an approaching trough can sling shot it NE like usually happens with late season storms.

No I'm not -removed- this lol.. Just stating an obvious fact

ColdFront77 · #4 Postby **ColdFront77** » Sun Jun 13, 2004 2:53 am

Good morning, John.

Early season storms move northeastward toward and/or across Florida, too.

Map of the Typical Cyclone Tracks for the month of June from The Weather Channel

Josephine96 · #5 Postby **Josephine96** » Sun Jun 13, 2004 2:58 am

Good morning Tom

Lack of sleep on this side lol..

Maybe we'll get an early season tropical system.. It'd be nice to see.. we could use the rain..

#6 Postby **tracyswfla** » Sun Jun 13, 2004 7:11 am

On that loop from a novices eye, it looks like it is heading East.

#7 Postby **wxman57** » Sun Jun 13, 2004 7:16 am

That thunderstorm cluster is now falling apart. Persistence is the key, and we haven't seen a thunderstorm mass last 24 hours or more yet. Looks like no TD today.

#8 Postby **Stormcenter** » Sun Jun 13, 2004 8:41 am

wxman57 wrote:That thunderstorm cluster is now falling apart. Persistence is the key, and we haven't seen a thunderstorm mass last 24 hours or more yet. Looks like no TD today.

I agree but you know what I've noticed. The area doesn't seem to be moving as fast or as much as yesterday which is good if you want development.

ColdFront77 · #9 Postby **ColdFront77** » Sun Jun 13, 2004 3:10 pm

The convection we saw yesterday could of always lasted even half as long as it did. This system has more potential than others, especialy in June.

Big changes with GOM mess?

Big changes with GOM mess?

I agree.

Who is online