System is Still Poorly Organized

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Sean in New Orleans
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1794
Joined: Thu Aug 28, 2003 7:26 pm
Location: New Orleans, LA 30.0N 90.0W
Contact:

System is Still Poorly Organized

#1 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Mon Jun 14, 2004 12:07 am

As the rain pours on my window, early this Monday morning, it looks like the system may not recover from the sheer. It still has the potential to be a depression, but, we'll need to see some fairly rapid changes before landfall. Nevertheless, this is decent reminder that it's now tropical season. And as they are reporting on the news all over New Orleans this evening, it's a sign that hurricane season is beginning and it's a good time to make the basic preparations for the season ahead. It's only mid-June and we've gotten a little notice from nature--there's more to come....
0 likes   

User avatar
Steve
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9628
Joined: Sat Apr 05, 2003 11:41 pm
Location: Gulf of Gavin Newsom

#2 Postby Steve » Mon Jun 14, 2004 12:27 am

It still rules though.

I just dropped in to say there's a line of moderate rain moving through my neighborhood now (yellow on radar, a hint of thunder). I don't care how I get my tropical rain, I just like to see it. I'm going sit on my porch and have a nightcap beer. Salut

Steve
0 likes   

User avatar
PTrackerLA
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5280
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
Location: Lafayette, LA

#3 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Jun 14, 2004 12:34 am

Raining here as well and also breezy. I enjoy seeing tropical rain, it's alot different than "normal rain". I can best describe it as smaller drops but more of them, if that makes sense? Hopefully we won't have any flooding problems but with an event like this it's bound to happen somewhere. Goodnight everyone. :wink:
0 likes   

Anonymous

#4 Postby Anonymous » Mon Jun 14, 2004 12:46 am

.30" so far and rising. The good news is that there will be breaks for at least the next few hours, so the flood threat is low for tonight. That could change later tomorrow.
0 likes   

User avatar
Steve
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9628
Joined: Sat Apr 05, 2003 11:41 pm
Location: Gulf of Gavin Newsom

#5 Postby Steve » Mon Jun 14, 2004 12:51 am

Great post PTracker.

I was going to crash, but it looks like a stronger line is rotating in through St. Bernard Parish, so I'm going to stay up and watch that one come through. Bastardi hinted at some tropical storm conditions somewhere within a 150 mile east of where it comes in (which he's maintained will be around 92W). Cool thing about disorganized deep tropical influxes are that everyone gets a piece of the action - TX, LA, MS, AL, FL, & GA. Like most serious hurricane fans, I always hope to see some of the action. But I try not to get greedy :). 1 squall line or feeder band and I'm cool with that particular event.

And always remember, if a storm hits Louisiana, plenty of other states will be in on the fun. If you're east of me, you should always root for us to get hit unless it's a Cat 4 or 5.

Steve
0 likes   

User avatar
PTrackerLA
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5280
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
Location: Lafayette, LA

#6 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Jun 14, 2004 12:52 am

Noticed a swirl in the convection south of Mobile. Checked the radar out and found this :

http://radar.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS.p20-r/si.kevx.shtml

Could be another MLC but it will not amount to anything because it will land soon. There's a definate spin in the convection though...
0 likes   

User avatar
Steve
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9628
Joined: Sat Apr 05, 2003 11:41 pm
Location: Gulf of Gavin Newsom

#7 Postby Steve » Mon Jun 14, 2004 12:56 am

Here's the New Orleans local loop. It looks like the worst local weather is in eastern Lake Pontchartrain heading toward Lacombe, Mandeville and Covington. /live action close to home, woohoo!

http://radar.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS.p19r0/si.klix.shtml

Steve
0 likes   

User avatar
PTrackerLA
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5280
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
Location: Lafayette, LA

#8 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Jun 14, 2004 12:59 am

Sure looks like a nasty squall in the New Orleans area. Looks like this rain will continue to form and move through south Louisiana all night. But going to bed for real now lol, morning commute to work might be action packed :eek: .
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 40 guests