Altantic wave looking EXTREMELY interesting!

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Do you think this will be the next significant tropical feature?

Poll ended at Sat Jun 19, 2004 4:50 pm

Yes, the Weather Channel isn't always right.
8
67%
No, Dr. Lyons(Weather Channel) is right.
4
33%
 
Total votes: 12

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TWXCC
Tropical Wave
Tropical Wave
Posts: 5
Joined: Mon Jun 14, 2004 4:19 pm

Altantic wave looking EXTREMELY interesting!

#1 Postby TWXCC » Mon Jun 14, 2004 4:50 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
Check out this loop of the wave! It has a very good circulation. This needs to be watched. Here's NHC/TPC's take on it:

000
ABNT20 KNHC 142106
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS/TPC NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT MON JUN 14 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD.
HOWEVER THERE IS STILL A SLIGHT POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL INVESTIGATE
TOMORROW MORNING...IF REQUIRED. THIS SYSTEM IS ACCOMPANIED BY AN
AREA OF RAINFALL EXTENDING FROM LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO FLORIDA AND
GEORGIA.

A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE

$$
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 50W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST NEAR 15 KT. THE
WAVE IS FAVORABLY LOCATED TO THE E OF A WEAK MID/UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH AND NEAR THE W PERIPHERY OF A LARGE RIDGE OVER THE
TROPICAL ATLC. THIS REGIME IS PRODUCING GOOD MID/UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENT FLOW AND HELPING TO PROMOTE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG THE WAVE AXIS. CURRENTLY...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 44W-52W. THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS THE WAVE MOVES W AND THIS SYSTEM WILL
LIKELY BE THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER FEATURE TO AFFECT THE
LESSER ANTILLES LATE TUESDAY EVENING OR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

I definately think that this thing still has a chance.


-Aaron
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