According to the Corpus Christi AFD
OF INTEREST...TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY JUST EAST OF THE ANTILLES IS
SHOWN BY GFS TO MOVE THRU THE CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE WEEK...
APPROACHING THE YUCATAN EARLY SAT. GFS SHOWS THE WAVE WELL DEFINED
AND ENTERING THE GULF LATE NEXT WEEKEND. THIS IS OUT IN THE 192-240
HR RANGE AND JUST SOMETHING TO NOTE AND KEEP AN EYE ON.
GFS shows well defined TW entering GOM next Saturday
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GFS shows well defined TW entering GOM next Saturday
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
More Discussion from Brownsville AFD
.LONG RANGE/TROPICS...GFS INDICATES SOME WEAK 5H TROFFING BUILDING
IN ALONG THE TX COASTLINE EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH MAY COMBINE WITH THE
DIURNAL HEATING TO HELP FIRE OFF SOME ISOLD AFTERNOON CONV ALONG THE
SEA-BREEZE. WILL LEAVE IN A MENTION OF ISOLD POPS FOR MUCH OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK. THE OVERALL 5H RIDGING PATTERN PERSISTENT OVER THE TX
AREA INTO THE LONGER RANGE PERIOD WILL KEEP TEMPS NEAR OR SLIGHTLY
ABOVE AVERAGE INTO NEXT WEEK. THE LATER PERIODS OF THE GFS RUN
SUGGESTS THAT THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS STARTING TO GET A LITTLE MORE
ACTIVE AND SHOWS SEVERAL TROPICAL WAVES SCATTERED OUT BETWEEN THE
GULF OF MEX AND THE WESTERN COAST OF AFRICA ESPECIALLY IN THE 120 TO
240 HR RANGE. A PRETTY WELL DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE IS SHOWN MOVING
INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF MEX AROUND 7/12/04 WHICH MAY BE THE NEXT
SIGNIFICANT RAIN MAKER FOR THE REGION IN THE 6 TO 10/8 TO 14 DAY
RANGE.
IN ALONG THE TX COASTLINE EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH MAY COMBINE WITH THE
DIURNAL HEATING TO HELP FIRE OFF SOME ISOLD AFTERNOON CONV ALONG THE
SEA-BREEZE. WILL LEAVE IN A MENTION OF ISOLD POPS FOR MUCH OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK. THE OVERALL 5H RIDGING PATTERN PERSISTENT OVER THE TX
AREA INTO THE LONGER RANGE PERIOD WILL KEEP TEMPS NEAR OR SLIGHTLY
ABOVE AVERAGE INTO NEXT WEEK. THE LATER PERIODS OF THE GFS RUN
SUGGESTS THAT THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS STARTING TO GET A LITTLE MORE
ACTIVE AND SHOWS SEVERAL TROPICAL WAVES SCATTERED OUT BETWEEN THE
GULF OF MEX AND THE WESTERN COAST OF AFRICA ESPECIALLY IN THE 120 TO
240 HR RANGE. A PRETTY WELL DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE IS SHOWN MOVING
INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF MEX AROUND 7/12/04 WHICH MAY BE THE NEXT
SIGNIFICANT RAIN MAKER FOR THE REGION IN THE 6 TO 10/8 TO 14 DAY
RANGE.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
10-Day MRF shows TW
Curious what other Model versions indicate up the road.
http://itg1.meteor.wisc.edu/wxp_images/ ... y_g211.gif
http://itg1.meteor.wisc.edu/wxp_images/ ... y_g211.gif
http://itg1.meteor.wisc.edu/wxp_images/ ... y_g211.gif
http://itg1.meteor.wisc.edu/wxp_images/ ... y_g211.gif
http://itg1.meteor.wisc.edu/wxp_images/ ... y_g211.gif
http://itg1.meteor.wisc.edu/wxp_images/ ... y_g211.gif
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Aquawind
- Category 5
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It seems so close to the coast I wonder if it's convective feedback..An impressive wave coming off africa as well..
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _228.shtml
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... /fpc.shtml
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _228.shtml
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... /fpc.shtml
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stormcloud
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PTrackerLA
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Hurricanehink
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Josephine96
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Anonymous
With a little more detail...the GFS shows a 1012MB low moving into the Houston area between the 12th and 14th. Most of the rainfall associated with the low is expected to be slighly east of the low center. But remember this is far out and we're relying on a GFS run...this will change 100 more times before then.
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Anonymous
Hurricanehink wrote:I sure hope so... though I have a bad feeling this will be a late blooming year...
Yes, but remember the late blooming years start quick. Right at the REAL start of 1999, we had a major hurricane hit Texas, a major hurricane spin in the Atlantic and a dangerous hurricane spin off the southeast coast within a few days.
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