I would keep a extra close eye on the western Atlantic!

[Matthew5]

The system centered at 25 north/70 west looks interesting. It was showing a large area of spin with it. This system is also supported with the cmc computer model. Just thought I would give a heads up! http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[bahamaswx]

That swirl is located in the upper-levels, and is producing a tremendous about of shear over the area, in excess of 35kts. Won't become favorable for about 36-48hrs. On the other hand... GFS is popping out CV storms left and right.

[Matthew5]

The shear maps show the shear levels going down. The maps also show over this system, is shear from around 10 to 15 mph. This is something to watch because some times a system likes to move down to the surface. So since theres nothing else to watch then this will have to do.


http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html


The likely hood of a Cape verde system over the next 5 to 7 days is low if not close to none! The GFS likes to pop out these kind of storms.

[Thunder44]

Looks like we got another "Bahama Mama" to watch. The latest from the 5:30 TWO:

http://www.storm2k.org/ham/hw3.php?conf ... hwvmetric=

[bahamaswx]

I never said we'd see a CV storm, but it is a good sign.

[rainstorm]

i agree with matt. the low east of the bahamas looks much more likely to develop than the eastern gom

[caneman]

Early visible is looking impressive.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

[CocoaBill]

I agree with Rainstorm and Matt...... The Bahamas is a better bet than Eastern GOM......

From NSW Tampa:

..........UPPER/SFC LOW OVER THE GULF PROGGED TO SLOWLY MOVE INTO WEAKNESS IN RIDGE INTO THE N CENTRAL GULF SUN AND WEAKEN OVER THE DEEP SOUTH..............