UKMET chimes in on Gulf system

[hurricanetrack]

Here is the latest from the UKMET:

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+12 : 24.8N 83.4W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 30.07.2004 24.8N 83.4W WEAK
12UTC 30.07.2004 24.9N 84.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 31.07.2004 24.8N 86.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 31.07.2004 25.2N 87.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 01.08.2004 24.7N 88.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 01.08.2004 25.7N 89.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 02.08.2004 26.3N 91.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 02.08.2004 26.6N 91.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 03.08.2004 26.4N 92.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 03.08.2004 26.1N 93.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 04.08.2004 26.6N 95.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 04.08.2004 27.2N 96.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


Looks like the models are "honking" loudly now.

[Rainband]

Looks pretty bad on Satellite. I say the Bahamas system is the best bet for development of the two

[USAwx1]

Looks pretty bad on Satellite. I say the Bahamas system is the best bet for development of the two

the LLC (albeit broad) is still there, so Half the battle WRT development is already won.

[Rainband]

There is NO llc on the Bahamas system?? Looks like it's spinning, Is it upper level

[lilbump3000]

If you look at the water vapor loop on the invest in the Bahamas, you can clearly see that there is a upper level low in the area.