3 possible Atlantic Systems?

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Stormchaser16
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3 possible Atlantic Systems?

#1 Postby Stormchaser16 » Thu Jul 29, 2004 6:09 pm

99L looks to be the last to develop out of the current two invests just because it doesnt have much convection and organization now, however if it does indeed develop then I believe that it has a better chance at greater strengthening of the two invests just because of open water. 90L looks good ATT, however im seeing little surface reflection currently, if there is and i missed it please let me know. However as soon/if a surface circulation gets going then this system could be a nasty little tropical rainmaker for somewhere in the Midatlantic. Im pretty confident in the forecast track area for 90L because the Bermuda high will stall the oncoming front and allow 90L to pass NW or maybe slightly south thereof. Ill be totally honest though, im not sure what this setup would mean for 99L down in the gulf.

On another note, the GFS is showing more development out on the eastern Atlantic. It seems pretty consistent in developing a closed low moving across the Atlantic from Cape Verde within 2-3 days from now.

http://bricker.met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/avn ... =Animation

There is little model support for this idea right now though, however some other models do show a weaker wave moving across the atlantic with the potential for further development.

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/metsat7ir.html

The GFS is likely picking up on the wave in West Central Africa currently, so within 2-3 days we should know if this will indeed be yet another player in the increasingly more active Atlantic Basin. There IS the potential the July will NOT go without a named system, although the probabilities are low.
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Stephanie
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#2 Postby Stephanie » Thu Jul 29, 2004 7:43 pm

It seems like the flood gates have opened! We haven't had anything and now we could possibly have 2 or 3 systems! :eek:
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#3 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 29, 2004 8:04 pm

Stephanie wrote:It seems like the flood gates have opened! We haven't had anything and now we could possibly have 2 or 3 systems! :eek:


and the problem with that is? :) :grrr: :P 8-) :D
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#4 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jul 29, 2004 8:42 pm

Nothing in 2 months, so the schedule has to come right back in August. Usual!
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#5 Postby TxAggie » Thu Jul 29, 2004 9:19 pm

Dr. Neil Frank just put out a teaser for the 10:00 news mentioning possible TD in the Southeastern GOM. He seems to see strengthening....
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#6 Postby lilbump3000 » Thu Jul 29, 2004 9:21 pm

Maybe a TD in the gulf soon. I know one thing is these systems doesnt get better organized overnight. Both of them recons for tomorrow will be canceled.
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#7 Postby NJCane » Thu Jul 29, 2004 9:22 pm

I think you have your invest numbers mixed up
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#8 Postby Aquawind » Thu Jul 29, 2004 10:02 pm

FWIW..some candy graphics..lol...with a GOM potential anomoly most likely..

Image

Image
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#9 Postby bahamaswx » Thu Jul 29, 2004 10:03 pm

Yep. 90L is the GOM system, 99L being the W. Atl entity. It seems likely 90L will develop, but my hopes are low for 99L.
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#10 Postby lilbump3000 » Thu Jul 29, 2004 10:11 pm

The ETA model continues to develop a system in the gulf. Not to metion a agressive system. But i think the gulf might have a better chance. The one in the atlantic still have the ULL under it.
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#11 Postby tailgater » Thu Jul 29, 2004 10:22 pm

Aquawind that must be a under water volcano in the middle of the gulf huh. :lol: :lol: :roll:
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#12 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 29, 2004 10:37 pm

I'm more impressed with the Bahamas system right now. 8-)
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#13 Postby lilbump3000 » Thu Jul 29, 2004 10:51 pm

Image




Image





Here are maps that i have found for the invest areas.
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#14 Postby Hurricanehink » Fri Jul 30, 2004 12:53 pm

Wow, they still think 90 has a chance. Well, it does, but not for a couple of days. Cool maps lilbump.
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