Eglin AFB's take on 91L &92L interesting

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Eglin AFB's take on 91L &92L interesting

#1 Postby Anonymous » Mon Aug 02, 2004 11:16 am

Current tropical weather synopsis (updated 2 August 1530z): Tropical Storm Alex is rapidly intensifying this morning off the coast of South Carolina and may become a hurricane later today. After sitting stationary just south of Charleston for over 24 hours, it now appears to be moving slowly eastward and will apparently just brush the southeast coast before heading out to sea.

Another system is forming out in the Atlantic, over 1000 miles east of the Windward Islands. It may become Tropical Depression Two later today and if it keeps organizing, will eventually become Tropical Storm Bonnie. It is forecast to approach the Caribbean and be near Puerto Rico by Thursday. After that, the most likely scenario is that it will curve northward toward the east coast by the weekend. At this point, it does not look likely to be a future threat to reach the Gulf of Mexico.

Finally, further to the east, another very strong wave is forecast to move from near the African coast, westward across the Atlantic, about 1500 miles behind the first wave discussed above. It is forecast to stay further to the south than the previous system as it crosses the Atlantic so it may be a better candidate to eventually become a threat to the Gulf sometime early next week perhaps.
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Re: Eglin AFB's take on 91L &92L interresting

#2 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 11:19 am

Jekyhe32210 wrote:Current tropical weather synopsis (updated 2 August 1530z): Tropical Storm Alex is rapidly intensifying this morning off the coast of South Carolina and may become a hurricane later today. After sitting stationary just south of Charleston for over 24 hours, it now appears to be moving slowly eastward and will apparently just brush the southeast coast before heading out to sea.

Another system is forming out in the Atlantic, over 1000 miles east of the Windward Islands. It may become Tropical Depression Two later today and if it keeps organizing, will eventually become Tropical Storm Bonnie. It is forecast to approach the Caribbean and be near Puerto Rico by Thursday. After that, the most likely scenario is that it will curve northward toward the east coast by the weekend. At this point, it does not look likely to be a future threat to reach the Gulf of Mexico.

Finally, further to the east, another very strong wave is forecast to move from near the African coast, westward across the Atlantic, about 1500 miles behind the first wave discussed above. It is forecast to stay further to the south than the previous system as it crosses the Atlantic so it may be a better candidate to eventually become a threat to the Gulf sometime early next week perhaps.



CAN YOU SAY... GULP!!! :crazyeyes: :crazyeyes: :crazyeyes:
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Re: Eglin AFB's take on 91L &92L interesting

#3 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 02, 2004 11:24 am

Jekyhe32210 wrote:Current tropical weather synopsis (updated 2 August 1530z): Tropical Storm Alex is rapidly intensifying this morning off the coast of South Carolina and may become a hurricane later today. After sitting stationary just south of Charleston for over 24 hours, it now appears to be moving slowly eastward and will apparently just brush the southeast coast before heading out to sea.

Another system is forming out in the Atlantic, over 1000 miles east of the Windward Islands. It may become Tropical Depression Two later today and if it keeps organizing, will eventually become Tropical Storm Bonnie. It is forecast to approach the Caribbean and be near Puerto Rico by Thursday. After that, the most likely scenario is that it will curve northward toward the east coast by the weekend. At this point, it does not look likely to be a future threat to reach the Gulf of Mexico.

Finally, further to the east, another very strong wave is forecast to move from near the African coast, westward across the Atlantic, about 1500 miles behind the first wave discussed above. It is forecast to stay further to the south than the previous system as it crosses the Atlantic so it may be a better candidate to eventually become a threat to the Gulf sometime early next week perhaps.


:crazyeyes: :crazyeyes: :crazyeyes: :crazyeyes: :crazyeyes: :crazyeyes: :crazyeyes: :crazyeyes:
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I'll believe it....

#4 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Aug 02, 2004 11:25 am

I'll believe it when I see it.
Thanks for the post!!!!!!!!!
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#5 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 11:27 am

THE WEEKEND for 91L??? I'd better watch this closely... :eek: :D
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#6 Postby alicia-w » Mon Aug 02, 2004 11:32 am

Posted this earlier in another thread. As a disaster prep rep for our organization, I get these daily from the Eglin Wx guys. Can post regularly if desired.
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#7 Postby TerryAlly » Mon Aug 02, 2004 11:39 am

alicia-w wrote:Posted this earlier in another thread. As a disaster prep rep for our organization, I get these daily from the Eglin Wx guys. Can post regularly if desired.


They are also available online at http://www.eglin.af.mil/weather/tropics.html if you do not wish to post daily.
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#8 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 11:40 am

Right, and I have that site bookmarked.
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#9 Postby alicia-w » Mon Aug 02, 2004 11:41 am

just trying to save some of our bandwidth here on the base.... :roll:
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#10 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 11:42 am

LOL! OK that is true....
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#11 Postby Steve H. » Mon Aug 02, 2004 12:02 pm

These guys at Eglin are a bit more casual when waves are in the Atlantic, but 91L is moving rapidly and the problem with it is that it may drive far enuf west before developing significantly, then get drawn to the WNW then NW. 92L has a beautiful signature, and its circulation spans nearly 20 degrees in latitude. There is no telling where this will go yet. Can anyone say Allen?? Purely speculation, just too early to say. But hell, its fun 8-)
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#12 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 12:04 pm

Steve H. wrote:These guys at Eglin are a bit more casual when waves are in the Atlantic, but 91L is moving rapidly and the problem with it is that it may drive far enuf west before developing significantly, then get drawn to the WNW then NW. 92L has a beautiful signature, and its circulation spans nearly 20 degrees in latitude. There is no telling where this will go yet. Can anyone say Allen?? Purely speculation, just too early to say. But hell, its fun 8-)


What do you mean? 91L moves NW? Can you explain?
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