Thinking a TDS might be issued.....

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dixiebreeze
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Thinking a TDS might be issued.....

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Aug 05, 2004 11:04 am

later today or tonight if ex-TD 2 continues her track at the present intensity. Thoughts?
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#2 Postby The Dark Knight » Thu Aug 05, 2004 11:07 am

Maybe.... The storm seems pretty healthy.......
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#3 Postby Stormchaser16 » Thu Aug 05, 2004 11:09 am

Ehhhhh maybe, but strong Westerly shear is present over the system currently, any LLC would be on the way W side of the convection where i wouldnt expect much development unless it 1)makes it past this shear or 2)the shear weakens
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#4 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Aug 05, 2004 11:10 am

Maybe the shear will lessen and allow the storm to come back
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#5 Postby Stormchaser16 » Thu Aug 05, 2004 11:12 am

I dunno, its got its work cut out for it......

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
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#6 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Aug 05, 2004 11:36 am

It certainly has a way to go, but is getting pretty close to the DR, etc. A TDS is not out of the question -- unless she starts to rapidly dissipate.
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#7 Postby The Dark Knight » Thu Aug 05, 2004 11:54 am

True......
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#8 Postby jabber » Thu Aug 05, 2004 12:04 pm

That shear looks pretty nasty.... She is going to have to work for it.
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#9 Postby jabber » Thu Aug 05, 2004 12:05 pm

That shear looks pretty nasty.... She is going to have to work for it.
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#10 Postby MGC » Thu Aug 05, 2004 1:40 pm

It is being sheared and putting out outflow boundries. so, wait till it reaches the W Carb.....MGC
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#11 Postby yoda » Thu Aug 05, 2004 1:42 pm

NO TDS for 91L/TD#2.... too much shear right now and the outflow boundaries are causing havoc...
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#12 Postby wx247 » Thu Aug 05, 2004 1:50 pm

yoda wrote:NO TDS for 91L/TD#2.... too much shear right now and the outflow boundaries are causing havoc...


A TDS can be issued regardless of development. We saw that earlier this season. If the wave posed a threat life threatening flash flooding then a TDS would be warranted IMHO.
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#13 Postby The Dark Knight » Thu Aug 05, 2004 1:53 pm

Oh yeah....Good point.....
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#14 Postby Nimbus » Thu Aug 05, 2004 2:01 pm

Tomorrow afternoon recon is scheduled to investigate it. If it is a threat to Jamaica they will upgrade it then.
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#15 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Aug 05, 2004 2:04 pm

"A TDS can be issued regardless of development. We saw that earlier this season. If the wave posed a threat life threatening flash flooding then a TDS would be warranted IMHO."

Agree wx247.
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