Does anyone see anything.....

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dixiebreeze
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Does anyone see anything.....

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Wed Aug 25, 2004 10:05 pm

to steer Frances to the right. I sure don't:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg
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#2 Postby PurdueWx80 » Wed Aug 25, 2004 10:15 pm

You really can't look at an IR image to see such a thing. Your best bet would be to look at a WV image or loop. The weighting function is set so that you are seeing water vapor at about 700-400 mb, which is where any feature that would steer the storm is located. There is an upper trough axis from 55W/30N back to Cuba. Mid and upper level winds on the east side of this should pull the storm to the WNW and NW in 24-36 hours. Also, if you look at a loop of the WV, you can see a trough digging in on the northern part of the screen near 60W/38N. That is what will eventually either weaken the ridge or move to a low enough latitude to pull the storm more to the N.
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#3 Postby x-y-no » Wed Aug 25, 2004 10:17 pm

Nice view of the trough starting to dig off the NE coast here:

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html
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#4 Postby Ixolib » Wed Aug 25, 2004 10:22 pm

x-y-no wrote:Nice view of the trough starting to dig off the NE coast here:

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html


Now, THAT is a cool loop!!
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#5 Postby Aquawind » Wed Aug 25, 2004 10:27 pm

Nice Loop..ole grape guzzler.. :wink: :lol: :)
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#6 Postby LaBreeze » Wed Aug 25, 2004 11:09 pm

Excellent explanation as always PurdueWx80.
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#7 Postby B-Bear » Wed Aug 25, 2004 11:30 pm

x-y-no wrote:Nice view of the trough starting to dig off the NE coast here:

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html


Do you really think that trough is going to dig deep enough to steer Frances though? That seems like a whole lot of diggin' in a hurry to me--but then again, I'm an idiot who doesn't know a whole lot about this stuff. :)
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#8 Postby mobilebay » Wed Aug 25, 2004 11:35 pm

I know earlier MWatkins was not buying that right hook. I respect MWatkins opinion as much as I do ANY Pro-Met. Also, Mike called Frances when it was over Western Africa.
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